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That's not even the point, though. Those smart-but-not-techy people are not going to grow GDP at the pace that Satya Nadella needs them to in order to keep his KPIs going up and to the right, and he's getting pissed.

That's the problem.


"Quick, guys, find something useful" coming from a CEO who's bet his company on an idea should be a market top signal, right?

And no, I'm not saying the technology is bad. The business isn't going swimmingly, though.


That would be harmful to their self esteem.

The empire has vassals, not allies.

The empire is doing everything it can to alienate its vassals into indipendent cities-states with their own alliances

Vassals who refuse to bend the knee tend to ... not live long. Often replaced by those who bend it properly.

Sounds like a cartoon world.

Realpolitik dictates that you don't start conflicts with all of your vassals for literally no reason

Satisfied?


You nailed it

Good point but not popular here.

It's old thinking that has been proven wrong multiple times... by America.

I think America is proving that?

The honor system is a remnant of a high-trust society. Living in a place where you can generally trust your neighbors is neat.


OpenAI is in no way "commercially successful."


You can't say they are "in no way" commercially successful when they have around one BILLION monthly users. That's just disingenuous.


It's impossible for a layman to know because most people in accredited positions of authority lie without cessation.

Identify people you trust on a subject, filter their claims through your own ideas about what is reasonable, and hope for the best.

You might still get it wrong. Such is life.


I've recently noticed on TikTok a big trend of food scientists, and chemists that basically just aggressively "debunk" anyone saying any sort of preservative or processed food ingredient is bad for you, and they always fall back on "proven safe for human consumption" which is just like circular reasoning that the FDA is perfect, righteous, and good.

There is of course a lot of kooky beliefs out there about food. But it seems like there is a very intentional social media campaign to associate ANY claim that the stuff in our food is not in our best interest with the kooks that believe the only safe thing to eat is raw goat balls or whatever.

For books anyway, I found The Hundred-Year Lie to be incredibly in depth, but there's a lot of chemistry so it's verrry dense.


That's not enough: you should also read the critics and opponents of what you think is true. That is, if you're truly trying to figure out reality and not just seeking psychological security.

Remember, the test of a true intellectual is that they can convincingly defend a position they find abhorrent.


“He who knows only his own side of the case knows little of that. His reasons may be good, and no one may have been able to refute them. But if he is equally unable to refute the reasons on the opposite side, if he does not so much as know what they are, he has no ground for preferring either opinion... Nor is it enough that he should hear the opinions of adversaries from his own teachers, presented as they state them, and accompanied by what they offer as refutations. He must be able to hear them from persons who actually believe them...he must know them in their most plausible and persuasive form.”

― John Stuart Mill, On Liberty


Or you just read a scientific paper. It's called a review and it goes over several studies and uses statistics to determine probability of claims. For example,

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8227014/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9776645/


I try to discourage people from using the internet. I work in infosec.


OK, fed.


"Debt creation also gives value to the dollar"

Only because enough people believe that's true, and then only because there are aircraft carriers that convince people in other countries that it's in their best interest to use them.

Dollars are not worth anything.


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