While yes, that would have been a better title in terms of telling us what the post was about, but then you get a different tone for the post.
I think the post is first and foremost for thanking Arash for his work on Dropbox and about the partnership he had with Drew, and telling us about it comes second.
Maybe you're right, I can't say that resonates with me but I may well be in the minority. I do find it interesting though that the post you link to has this as it's first sentence:
"After six and a half years, Guido van Rossum, the creator of Python, is leaving Dropbox and heading into retirement."
No ambiguities regarding the reasons for the post then.
(Also, for what it's worth, I had no idea who Arash was prior to reading this post.)
1. Countries and private companies will launch stablecoins and it'll be the most used payment medium in developed countries.
2. Bitcoin will grow, but it'll not be the biggest cryptocurrency anymore.
3. Total market cap of all cryptocurrencies (including stablecoins) will be ~$8T.
4. Around 50% of the software jobs will be remote.
5. USA and China tradewar will turn into something more scary and people will be increasingly more wary of a third world war.
6. Apple releases their first iteration of AR glasses and it'll use an iPhone as it's driver.
7. Renaissance of piracy through decentralized systems like Filecoin. We'll have illegal products that will be easier to use than Netflix, and more content. Netflix, Spotify, et al. will never be able to have a complete library of all content, but it's pirate competitors will.
8. OpenAI will start building products or provide services for consumers or businesses. They'll be very profitable and have a valuation of around $30B.
Libra is not all that bad. While there are problems with Facebook gaining yet another source for information that takes advantage of privacy terms, I think a stablecoin by GAFA is in the right direction. It speeds up the adoption of cryptocurrency by a lot.
Paypal and other "digital cash" solutions are fully centralized which makes it impossible for devs to build on top of their platform. This means that problems that arise cannot be solved by devs looking at the problem from the outside.
Libra gets around this by having an open platform that anyone can build on. Anyone can create a Libra wallet, and anyone can build Libra services. If we have a big privacy problem with Libra in the future, we might be able to find a way around it. Libra supports scripting on-chain which would make atomic swaps possible. If something like atomic swaps are possible, can we hide information from Facebook et al? Or what about mixing Libra on-chain?
> If we have a big privacy problem with Libra in the future, we might be able to find a way around it.
When major government policy proposals are brought into the public discourse, we argue endlessly about the edge cases, downstream effects and hypothetical scenarios that may in turn cause future problems. Universal healthcare is too expensive, the green new deal won't work, bring the troops home, etc. People argue forever around the hypotheticals of these ideas.
But when one of the most powerful and consistently nefarious companies in the world starts to build a system to cut out the global banking system, we're fine to say that we "might be able to" find a way around major problems facing the platform if they gain too much control.
The inconsistency in the level of scrutiny that we levy at companies compared to governments is shocking given the influence that the public has over government policy and operations compared to a private, multi-billion-dollar company.
"might be able to" isn't good enough when it comes to building systems that undermine the current financial system. All aspects of the system need to be spelled out in concrete terms, and safeguards must be put into place to ensure proper implementation and alignment of incentives. This must be regulated, without question.
Yes, big banks are greedy and corrupt and aren't looking out for the little guys. But neither is Facebook, and if there's an institution out there that is less fit than the banks to control the global financial system, it's Facebook.
Definitely states the right problems, but not the right solutions.
The commits box is also bigger than the files box, which doesn't make much sense. Whether a commit box even should be there is a big question. How useful is commits to the average developer browsing a repo? I think a bit useful, but not useful enough to have 1/3 of the screen width.
Stats of a repo is pretty nice, because it gives an overview of how active it is, etc. But the problem is that majority of GitHub repos are empty and not that active, so it'll make most of the repos look like ghost towns. Not something you'd want on your site.
Moving all git tabs into the GitHub tabs makes it even harder to use the UI. You have to spend way too much mental load just to find the right tab to click on. It looks better, but will be harder to use.
The "Watch" button, moving description and tags is an improvement, and I'm for a redesign of some sort.
What use is equity if the company never goes public or never gets acquired?
Tokens can on the other hand have value even if none the above happens, and you get a liquid market much earlier. If the monetary policy of the token is reasonable, and the market cap shoots up for one reason or another in the future, you'd make a big buck.
But would you make any money on your equity of the market cap of the token would go up? Not necessarily.
I think "intersting" is often a bad rule too, especially if you've just begun reading. At the beginning, you don't have any kind of benchmark or reference for checking if what you're reading is good or not, and will therefore most likely accept anything as truth or insight.
If you've read enough on the other hand, then sure, it might work. Might in the sense that with some luck and taste, you'll find the good books. But it's still reliant on taste, which is very, very biased. Anything that looks uninteresting, but is awesome will be missed.
One thing that came to mind is that some of these "13 thoughts" are kind of dependent on each other.
For example, you might not want to be bold and have too much self-belief without being able to work hard, think independently or making it easy for yourself to take risks. If anything, try to do all of them, or be wary of how you pick and choose from the list.
I think the post is first and foremost for thanking Arash for his work on Dropbox and about the partnership he had with Drew, and telling us about it comes second.