Data generated by people isn't random, it has statistical regularities that can be used to narrow down the search space and since quantum computers are better at certain kinds of search problems it will be easier to find fragments of files based on just the hashes of the content.
I think the proper way to prep is not individually but communally. See if your local government has any disaster preparation programs and get involved with those. YouTube videos are mostly for driving ad revenue and selling you garbage after making you anxious and don't solve the underlying problem of fragile global supply chains and supply shocks.
The main thing currently that no one seems concerned about is the reduction of grain production from Russia and Ukraine because of the war. This is going to have a global impact and will increase food scarcity that a 3 month individual supply can not do anything about.
>The main thing currently that no one seems concerned about is the reduction of grain production from Russia and Ukraine because of the war. This is going to have a global impact and will increase food scarcity that a 3 month individual supply can not do anything about.
This is the main thing that has gotten me worried. In 2010 there was a heatwave in Russia that affected the wheat harvest and in 2011 we had the Arab spring. There are an increasingly large number of failed states or states that are on the verge of tipping into that in that region of the world too. Lebanon's grain storage capacity was reduced to a month's supply after the Beirut explosion. Water tables are very stressed in Morocco which supplies the majority of the worlds rock phosphate which is the critical input into phosphate fertilizers which massively boost agricultural productivity beyond normal means. When you dig down into it it's clear the world is in a "food bubble" supported by over-pumping of water from aquifers, hydrocarbons, globalization.
The ripple effect the economics are going to have will be pretty far reaching.
Then you understand that an individual can not fix these problems on their own which is why I recommended joining folks in your local vicinity that are similarly concerned about these issues and then seeing what can be done at the local level to mitigate them collectively instead of individually.
One thing the pandemic taught me was that when the disaster comes, it's going to be your local community that turns on you first. Given the mask hoarding/reselling, toilet paper hoarding, gasoline hoarding, store price gouging and general antisocial behavior that we saw during 2020, I have no doubt that it would be a mistake to rely on altruistic, cooperative, community action. When I lived in Florida, after every hurricane, you'd see dozens of guys driving around with 4 brand new generators in the back of their pickup trucks, looking to sell them to desperate homeowners for 10X their cost.
For every one person who participates in a helpful community disaster preparation program, there are 20 who will instead look for ways to profit from a disaster and screw everyone else.
> One thing the pandemic taught me was that when the disaster comes, it's going to be your local community that turns on you first.
Whereas folks in my neighbourhood all pitched in to do grocery runs for the old and infirm.
> … after every hurricane, you'd see dozens of guys driving around with 4 brand new generators in the back of their pickup trucks, looking to sell them to desperate homeowners for 10X their cost.
Those guys are doing good: they are taking generators to people who need them. You see only the price, not the fact that the person who pays that price thinks he is better off with a generator than with the money. And those higher prices incentivise other folks to bring in more generators, which means … everyone who needs a generator will eventually get one. That is how markets work!
People here made masks for each other, helped elderly and what not. I can totally see people sux in scarcity situation, but all in all, this pandemic was people trying to help and be helping.
>all in all, this pandemic was people trying to help and be helping.
Even here in South Australia where we were had tiny numbers (a few 10s of cases a day), the supermarket shelves were stripped bare of toilet paper, sanitizer, hand towels, food).
yeah it turned into bizzaro world for a few months, which was especially weird since we were basically Covid free for the majority of the past 2 years.
In a true apocalyptic scenario where life won’t go back to normal we’ll force bullets into those guys and steal their generators while they dry heave blood on the ground.
Techies are far more valuable in the post apocalyptic world than you think. When the initial bloodshed subsides, people will want rudimentary communication apps and networks to get back to the old days. Only techies can build to those standards.
I largely expect this to be true. I also expect that with the passage of time there will be a decrease in population density to the point where an equilibrium is found between people and resources and behavior becomes more sociable again as that balance is restored. So, enough to get passed that initial period seems like a wise investment compared to being caught short. Will you survive the potential violence? I'd say that's stochastic, but you may as well take the chance.
Not sure why you’re getting downvoted but you’re right: people won’t just go away and die quietly. Maintaining a 24x7 guard over your supplies must be part of your prepper plans. Even then you’d better have the constitution to kill anyone trying to get your stuff. It’s not a pleasant thought and almost nobody is prepared to endure such a nightmare.
This is why prepping alone is impractical unless you’re just planning to live somewhere completely isolated from any possible humans.
I’ve always felt part of prepping should be to establish documents that details alliances and property rights with your neighbors and other preppers so when the government collapses you have a procedure to bring up a local rule of law and order very quickly.
Expecting government help instead of taking responsibility is not the proper way. If you are able to take care of yourself you take a strain off whatever limited resources are left to help those who can't help themselves. Be a resource not a drain.
By getting involved in the government and helping prepare for disasters is the very definition of taking responsibility for yourself and being a resource for those around you.
Its design is good enough. There's just enough protocol to make it portable, and it's almost completely extensible so you can make it do basically anything.
It's unlikely that the US will fall into chaos and political disarray so those are not really the problems people are talking about when they mention increasing income inequality and more polarized politics. And you're right that empires don't really fall in short time frames, it's a more drawn out process but when decaying institutions are combined with shocks to the system like global warming, famines, wars, pandemics, etc. then it becomes much harder to be optimistic about the status quo and the people in charge of managing these shocks.
Things are a lot more fragile and unstable than people realize so it's important to zoom out and look at all these issues in aggregate in order to formulate effective plans for revitalizing decaying democratic institutions so that we can properly deal with the inevitable shocks that cause the decline and collapse of nations.
The main problem is the "mega" part which is mostly a side-effect of seeking profit without wondering whether that's the best way to structure an organization that seeks to "connect everyone" or "organize the world's knowledge". Neither of those missions should be subordinate to profit motives but at the moment the companies that claim it's their mission to "organize the world's knowledge" or to "connect everyone" are actually doing something else entirely: trying to make as much money as possible.
The main issue is that barriers to entry in software are very low. If there is a successful company doing something with software then there is no way to lock someone else out of building a similar service with some slight variation. So I'd say that as long as you are looking at for-profit companies then there is no way to avoid the issue of cutting corners, bad system design, and burning out engineers with stress and overtime because the leaders at these companies know that all the other companies are doing the same thing in order to stay ahead of their competition.
You might have better luck if you start looking at non-profit companies but you'd have to actually figure that out for yourself and work at one to see if it was a better fit for what you are looking for in terms of work.
