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This essay uses a weak straw-man: the only way to become a billionaire is by exploiting people

I think the "principle of charity" or "steel-man" criticism of billionaires isn't that every single billionaire is directly exploiting people. It would be closer to something like this:

The problem is that our society has feedback loops that make it hard to escape poverty, and feedback loops that let the wealthy amass more wealth and power. It doesn't have to be this way, it's a product of our laws and can be changed.

Warren Buffet doesn't directly exploit anyone. However he does pay less taxes than his secretary. To the extent that Uber drivers and Amazon warehouse workers are exploited, it's because our society has millions of desperate people struggling to get by. What's the point of being the wealthiest nation ever on paper, if there's terrible schools, high infant mortality, and lead in the drinking pipes?



You are right about the feedback loops that make it hard to escape poverty. The most uncomfortable one to talk about is basic social network effects. Two people meet at some prestigious college and get married - are we shocked they have children who are predisposed for success? Besides from having god-given IQ, they are likely some combination of ambitious, punctual, respectful of authority, long-term oriented, hard-working, etc. But would one of those parents have ever been interested in marrying and having kids with some high school dropout, someone from a vastly different social place and lacking those values? It's pretty rare. Society organizes itself around this stuff and it's extremely powerful. The two high school dropouts end up hooking up and having kids and it's often times (though obviously not always) the opposite cycle. And yeah there are plenty of societal biases that are real, but I really don't think anything will ever be as powerful as this self-organizing dynamic of how people marry and have kids. It's cold and depressing and uncomfortable but it's reality.


If they have those admirable middle class traits were they born that way? Or is cultural and social inheritance as influential as genetic inheritance?

I used to live in an upper middle class area, and a worrying number of the people were very polished thieves. They spent an unholy amount of time fighting over inheritances with other family members and over property boundaries with neighbours. When they worked - inevitably as land owners, landlords, upmarket real estate agents, investment advisors, lawyers, company directors, horse breeders, and so on - they'd always pad their bills and expenses, inflate their prices, and cheat on their taxes.

Were they "successful" - in the sense of being very comfortably off? Of course they were.

Did they try to marry their own? Naturally - out of snobbery and opportunism if for no other reason.

Were they admirable human beings or truly productive members of society? Not noticeably. Between the drink and drug problems, the predictable infidelities and ensuing dramas, and the polished and educated facade hiding feral greed and entitlement, they looked good from the outside - not so much from the inside.

If you don't own shares/stocks to any significant extent your labour goes to supporting these people. They make a lot of money from "investments" and pretend this is a glorious, noble, and risky social service. In fact they're simply skimming money from the top of the economy into their own pockets - effectively wasting it when it could be put to work doing something innovative for future generations.


Focusing on the individuals is WRONG. Stop doing it! People are people, and - as far as capitalist societies go - money is success, and "skimming" is unfortunately the dominant and easiest strategy to get it. Blaming the individuals here gets us nowhere. You could swap low and high society at an individual level and likely be even worse off because there is at least some chance that those who are currently rich did so by producing large social value. But it is not the fault of skimmers that they skim. These people born in a society with different incentives would produce social value instead of taking it from others.

Attacking "Billionaires" is easy to do, but its the wrong target. A "wealth tax" will probably make a pretty good bandaid, but for a real solution here, we need to think harder about fixing the root cause - that skimming strategies are dominant in the first place. In other worse, say we pass a high tax. Great. Except it doesn't change the best action for people(rich or poor): make money by skimming. So now instead of having an unequal society of skimmers, we end up with a more equal society of skimmers.

Way too much capital right now is devoted to skimming: marketing/advertising, legal/accounting, real estate, and finance have ballooned. The largest tech companies in the world are ad companies. Lawyers and accountants spent significant time on tax avoidance. Real estate is run on speculation and bubbles. Finance is now more about about the short term rather than long term value investing. It didn't used to be the case, but in the modern world, the margins on these departments make them better ways to spend our time and resources to get money. I wish I had a mental model of things good enough to suggest what the right fix would be, but as a random guess, I'd rather see taxes on the industries above than a tax on billionaires.

Edit: in retrospect this rant went overboard. Wealth tax/higher taxes on extreme wealth are probably still needed as part of the plan. Easy to get carried away with rants lol!


You have a weird concept of "thievery". If someone's prices are too high, don't hire them. If somebody doesn't pay enough, don't work for them.

If you think they are skimming money, then there has to be a way to offer the same services cheaper (without the skimming). So instead of complaining, do it. What's your excuse?


It's not about prices. He's referring to "crooks with suits and big smiles". We all met at least a few. They aren't your local drug dealers or some shady pawn shop owners. They are usually in pretty good jobs. Lawyers that only care about getting more money from the client rather then really helping them, dentists who do rush jobs so they could make more money, realtors,who flock properties and "forget" to mention important aspects that could have an impact on the decision. Business owners who take everyone they deal with for a ride and so on. And yes, they do live in nice houses and nice neighborhoods and can often be mistaken for decent people.


So what percentage of rich people do you figure are such "crooks with suits and big smiles"?

Of course crooks exist. Most people are not crooks, though. And especially the professionals you mention may have problems to persist. Like the shoddy dentist will be busy with lawsuits presumably.

I still prefer those "private crooks" to people feeding on government money (not meaning people on social security, but people in useless jobs paid for with taxpayer money).


So what percentage of corporate CEOs do you figure are "psychopaths"?

Of course psychopaths exists. Most people are not psychopaths, though. And especially the CEOs you mention may have problems to persist.

I still prefer those "CEO psychopaths" to people feeding on government money (people in useless jobs paid for with taxpayer money).

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/on-small-business/wp/201...


I fail to see the relevance of your analogy? CEOs may or may not be psychopaths, but afaik it is not illegal to be a psychopath? Nor does it imply such a person will do evil things?

I personally think that the "successful pyschopaths" meme is also way overblown, but I don't really know. I think being a psychopath is actually a deficiency, not a super power. Also in business I think people who help other people tend to be more successful overall than the stereotypical ruthlessly selfish people.

Edit: I think you added the link later on, that cites 21% of CEOs to be psychopaths? I would wait for replication on that one. It reminds me of another thing I read where reading about economics allegedly turned people into psychopaths (which is of course bullshit - just because you learned about rational decisions, as perhaps most CEOs do at some point, doesn't mean you are a psychopath). I suspect the questionnaire or the study they used to determine the "21%" number may in fact be motivated by politics.


>If you think they are skimming money, then there has to be a way to offer the same services cheaper (without the skimming). So instead of complaining, do it. What's your excuse?

What if they are skimming money precisely because they made it difficult to offer the same services cheaper?


How would "they" make it difficult to offer the same services cheaper?

The only institution that can do that is government via regulations (like who can practice law or become a dentist). I agree that there are some (many?) fishy regulations like that. But that is on the government, that is, socialism. Only free markets can guarantee fair prices.


Is this a critique of the concept of investing in general?


> Or is cultural and social inheritance as influential as genetic inheritance

No, it isn't. For intelligence, in adulthood, it clearly isn't. For harder to measure skills, current estimates are at around half and half, but the error is mostly in the environment category. So much general-population variance is genetic (and that's only amplified at the highest skill levels - you need great 'cultural and social influence', but also great genes, lol)

> Did they try to marry their own? Naturally - out of snobbery and opportunism if for no other reason.

fun fact, the trait that shows the most assortative mating is intelligence. curious!

> I used to live in an upper middle class area, and a worrying number of the people were very polished thieves.

and I know a worrying number of lower class thieves. '20% of rich people are grifters' doesn't impune rich people as a whole, any more than Tony the crack money launderer impunes poors.


>It's pretty rare.

I think it was in The Meritocracy Trap that spoke to how this is a relatively recent phenomenon that is exacerbates wealth inequality. Previously it appears to have intermarriage between social classes


Thank you for this well-thought (and written) comment. Human nature - ignored at own peril.



Heritability studies suggest this is much more strongly mediated by genetic factors (such as IQ and time preference) than social factors.


Just a cursory search on Google for the 'heritability of lifetime income' leads me to this from a study in Finland:

> For example, Björklund and Jäntti (2012) estimated using Swedish data that shared environmental and genetic factors explain 40–60% of inequality in a number of productive traits, including cognitive and non-cognitive skills, schooling and long-run earnings.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333090512_Heritabil...

Assuming that this paper holds up, then at around half of lifetime earnings would be attributable to environment.

Also, speaking purely of heritability factors is a little reductive. Two parents that lack a particular phenotype that, say, is fit for wage growth in our contemporary economy, may have offspring that does. Similarly those fit to succeed in the economy today, may not be in the future if the stressors change.


I'm not sure this holds up to scrutiny. My limited understanding of epigenetics means that social factors and genetic factors are not so easily separated, we'd need significantly more generations of data to show that.


Non-heritable effects (including epigenetic) are estimated to contribute to less than 30% of population intelligence variance.


If you were familiar with the data, you wouldn't make statements like that, because heritability is a population statistic, not a constant. It varies significantly between populations, to the point where you can't make claims about it without controlling for the population you're studying.

For instance, we could say that the heritability of intelligence among the children of suburban Chicago families in a particular income bracket is 70%, but not that the heritability of intelligence in general is 70%.


If you were familiar with the data, you wouldn't make statements like that, because heritability of intelligence is largely the same across all population studied so far, and universally high. There are exceptions, e.g. Scarr-Rowe effect is most likely real, but it only seems to work on very low end of SES range, which is virtually unseen in today's America, even at the lowest end of what counts as poverty.


Via what mechanism are we testing? Did we send some kids through a good upbringing and some to a bad one in a randomized controlled way, or did we just take a survey and assume intelligence was passed down through genealogy instead of upbringing?


Through foster children, and measuring whether their IQs are ultimately more correlated with their foster family or genetic family.


> Via what mechanism are we testing? Did we send some kids through a good upbringing and some to a bad one in a randomized controlled way, or did we just take a survey and assume intelligence was passed down through genealogy instead of upbringing?

The most informative studies in this area are usually of twins-separated-at-birth, but the datasets aren't very large.


Scarr's original twin study was done in Philadelphia. Seems strange to discount the Scarr-Rowe effect as not existing in the US at all when it was originally found there in the first place.


Scarr’s original study was done over 50 years ago on kids who grew up in pre-Civil Rights America. That level of deprivation is, as I’ve said, virtually unseen in today’s America. Recent studies usually fail to replicate it on more recent experimental data.


We know it holds up to scrutiny, because the epigenetics excuse, constructed without the information supply needed to support it, doesn't hold up to scrutiny.


Sure; but this trend doesn’t rely on upbringing alone.

The children of two collage graduates have collage graduate genes and a collage graduate upbringing. It’s no surprise they’re (we’re) overrepresented in collages.


Collage(sic) graduate genes?

Genes are determined before college. And education doesn't change genes.


The children's genes are a collage of the parent's.


People aren’t dumb because they got the stupid gene (barring deformity that does real brain damage). They’re dumb because they were taught to be.

The are large social circles that being smart is a bad trait. There are social circles where there is little opportunity to learn as well. There’s little differentiation between baby brains and epigenetic traits aren’t set in stone by parentage, though upbringing will have a strong effect throughout life.

You don’t inherit intelligence, you get taught to throw it away or not based largely on environmental factors, including how your parents raise you.


> You don’t inherit intelligence, you get taught to throw it away or not based largely on environmental factors, including how your parents raise you.

You're glossing over the role of other personality traits in success. And yes, environmental factors are hugely important to those as well, but often in complex ways.

For example, food insecurity during childhood has an enormous impact on an individual's ability to delay gratification. While there is certainly quite a bit that parenting can do to make that even worse, there isn't a lot that can be done to make it better.


Thank god, now we can sit back and relax. No need to change anything.


While this is a cynical response, it's kind of true. Many progressive causes are doomed, because almost everything is shockingly heritable. If you try to "break cycles" that actually emerge from acyclic causal networks, at best you will accomplish nothing and at worst you will introduce additional inefficiencies and suffering (more likely).

The one thing you can do that won't be harmful is basically funding genetic selection research, e.g. lowering the cost of IVF embryo selection. This is relatively morally palatable (esp. compared to e.g. eugenics) but will actually have the desired effects.


In your explanation I see the feedback loop that makes it easier for you and your children to stay out of poverty if you're already successful.

I don't see a feedback loop that makes it hard to escape poverty. Why did the high school dropouts drop out in the first place, and why does that make their kid more likely to drop out? Ideally their kid should still have access to public school education, with all the tools needed to go on to become successful themselves.

To be clear I'm not saying there is no poverty feedback loop, just that even taking what you've said about fundamental human preferences at face value it is not inevitable that it stay this way. We can improve our systems to make it easier for people to escape poverty. But this doesn't really have anything to do with billionaires. Many of the issues in these systems are not even for lack of funding, but inefficiently spent funding or other poorly designed incentives or bureaucratic rules that make things more difficult for poor people.


> Ideally their kid should still have access to public school education, with all the tools needed to go on to become successful themselves.

> just that even taking what you've said about fundamental human preferences at face value it is not inevitable that it stay this way

You're not wrong, but funding education is _expensive_, and education is only part of the puzzle, access is another large part of it, and so are the social norms you develop. My family and I grew up in "poverty-lite", and while I did manage to get into a great college, the adjustment was quite difficult. In high school I would show up to regional science fairs, and would often come in 2nd or 3rd place, and would lose to kids who used their high school's teacher's Masters thesis as a science project (for reference, in my school nobody even had a Masters degree.) Socially, I grew up very different from them. Where I grew up, you kept your head down and got in line. Disputes were aired out publicly, and often descended to fistfights if you were under 21. Textbooks were expensive, and my school often couldn't afford enough for everyone. I was constantly begging the librarian to borrow math books, but I never could because we didn't even have enough copies for the students in the actual class, let alone me, an interested kid.

For my college peers money was never an issue. I used my good grades to become a TA as soon as I could, and I worked as many hours as I could so I could pay rent and make expenses while my friends seemed to have endless amounts of time to go to social hangouts and parties, which certainly blocked the connections I could make.

Over the years I've made a handful of friends in tech who grew up in a similar income bracket as mine, and they remain comforting to me because even now, I have a hard time relating to the average Silicon Valley tech worker whose life started in upper-middle class gated suburbs.


Yep. And good luck figuring out how to impress girls that spent every summer of their childhood in Paris and Switzerland.


The incorrect assumption is that you need to impress those girls at all.


I think the implication is that "rich" girls won't show interest in you.


Tell them about the eiffel tower


> I don't see a feedback loop that makes it hard to escape poverty

Really?

You’re 16 years old, you’ve a high IQ and a passion for programming.

Your parents are alcoholics. You don’t have nice clothes. You don’t have perfect manners because it’s just not the world you live in.

How do you get to the university admissions interview in the next town? How will you compete against the mannerly, well turned out student with no record of truancy. All you have is a high IQ and a passion. Will that cut it?

> incentives

Actors are sometimes irrational, you can’t rely on incentives.


Bill Gates has openly admitted how much his environment helped. Being genetically gifted as he is is only part of the equation. He also grew up in an affluent enough area to have early to computers as well as the time and supportive environment to pursue it. I wonder if people who claim environment doesnt matter have spent any appreciable time in poor neighborhoods.

The absolute best will usually find their way out. I think a society should optimize for beyond those who are just in the vanishing tail of the curve


> Bill Gates has openly admitted how much his environment helped. Being genetically gifted as he is is only part of the equation. He also grew up in an affluent enough area to have early to computers as well as the time and supportive environment to pursue it.

Not to mention the role his familial connections had in his landing that sweetheart deal with IBM.


For the unaware, his mom was an acquaintance of the IBM CEO by virtue of both serving on the board of United Way, and Microsoft came up in conversation between them. A few weeks later IBM contracted Microsoft to write the operating system for the first IBM "personal computer".


He also promised to deliver the operating system within an insane deadline. He did so by by purchasing 86-DOS [0] (also known as QDOS) for $50k ($148,931.42 today) and porting it over to IBM PCs.

He got business connections with IBM, he is a skilled negotiator, he got an expensive education paid by his parents, founded his own business with his parent's money (do you have a $150k allowance?) and knew intelligent but "poor" people who were even more skilled than him who he then could hire to actually do the important work.

In short, he was born a billionaire.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/86-DOS



These days, you can start a successful internet business in your basement with just a computer. Nobody has to see you, your clothes, or your bad manners. You don't need a university education, though you can get one for free online as needed.


How the hell are you supposed to learn to code when you’re working 50 hours per week just to make rent and eat? How can you afford to deploy? And how can you market your product if you don’t know how to talk to your audience?

Sure, you will be able to point to many people who have managed to do it. But many, many others have tried and failed - through no fault of their own.


> you’re working 50 hours per week just to make rent and eat

The parent I replied to says you're 16. You're not working 50 hours etc.


I mean, sure. I grew up poor and without much in the way of access to education, and the internet was really a saving grace for me, in terms of self-education, income, and simply finding community.

At the same time, do you think the average income of a given internet business--let alone the segment that are run by solo entrepreneurs in their basement with just a computer and a $5 droplet--compares positively to the salary of the average CS graduate? Because we're talking about inequality, not asking "can poor people possibly make money online?"

The fact that the internet has made things better does not mean the problem is solved.


I happen to know several people who did just that (grew up barely above what would qualify for welfare, did not go to college) and became millionaires.

Even if you fail (and you probably will) what you learn from it will position you much better when trying again. It often takes multiple failures before making it work. (Even Gates/Allen had business failures before starting Microsoft.)

> does not mean the problem is solved.

Most people don't recognize opportunity because it comes disguised as hard work :-)


On average, the internet probably made thing worse to the average employee. Everything became much more competitive and automated.


No, starting a business takes capital. You can build a Django website from your basement for free, but to turn it into a profitable business takes cash.


It does? A $5/mo droplet can serve a good amount of traffic. And there are lots of free ways to get some initial users, they just take time. I know because I’ve done exactly that.

This kind of can’t-do attitude really saddens me. I see it all the time in these discussions about wealth inequality.


I know. I've set up websites before; I am aware that it doesn't take that much money to get it running.

But what about advertising? Branding? Anything that a $5 droplet can do, someone else's product can probably do too -- you don't have the tech advantage. Do you stand out with UX? By doing the legwork yourself? All of these take manpower, and that means capital.

It's not the website that costs money to make; it's making that website profitable.


Yeah, if you don’t have any resources, you do everything yourself. Paid advertising can be useful for scaling, but you don’t need it for getting the first few users, and usually you’re shooting for being good enough to get word of mouth spread.


I think you may have a few competitive advantages that a 16 year old may lack, like a quiet place to work, an internet connection, a network of people, etc. etc. You’ve got such an advantage that it’s utterly pointless to draw comparisons.

The idea that someone somewhere can probably maybe might be able to make this work does not make the case that people have opportunity.


We were talking about needing startup capital to get the business off the ground, so this is kind of moving the goalposts.

But if you have a library nearby, that can take care of a lot of the concerns you’re talking about. Before the pandemic, I frequently worked out of one. Your hypothetical 16 year old likely has a suitable spot at their school.

You really don’t need an existing network to get a business started. You can find initial users on Internet forums, or reach out to people on LinkedIn.


If that’s true, why is it so rare? Why is this secret undiscovered?


What is “it” referring to? Bootstrapping a small business?

There are quite a lot of successful small saas startups that took no funding. Are you familiar with microconf? The business of software conference?

It might seem rare if you don’t know anybody doing it, the knowledge isn’t evenly distributed. Doesn’t mean it is rare.


It's not rare at all.


Freelance programming doesn't require any more capital than owning a computer. Anyone can start by contributing to open source projects.


That's not "starting a business," that's just finding work.


It's a business in every way (be sure to register it with the government as a business). You can turn it into leverage by finding gigs for your programming friends, handling the negotiation, billing, and payment and thereby collecting a percentage. In fact, you can become quite wealthy doing this.


> Ideally their kid should still have access to public school education, with all the tools needed to go on to become successful themselves.

Ideally, but in reality public education is not an equalizer like that. Wealthy parents give their students advantages that school can't provide in our society: e.g. upper class culture and habits, resources for extra education, connections, etc.

Even the institutional bits aren't equal: local property tax based funding mechanisms mean richer people live in better-resourced school districts than poorer people, with better educational opportunities.


When children have a rough family/home life growing up, that can create some big obstacles to overcome later in life. If their parents don't see a value in education, then the children tend to inherit that outlook took, thus continuing the cycle. Of course, some will work there way out of it, but I'd imagine that number is small compared to those who get stuck in it.


> the only way to become a billionaire is by exploiting people

Here's a slightly different take on this idea:

The only way to become a billionaire is to use leverage.

I think this is a much more defensible argument. You can't become a billionaire by yourself. You have to have some mechanism of leverage to magnify your impact. Hiring employees is a form of leverage. Using a computer is a form of leverage. Putting your software on a large number of cloud computers is yet an additional form of leverage. The question of whether one is exploiting their employees is a worthwhile question to ask, but it is a completely separate (and much more polarizing) question. I think that leverage is the core kernel of truth lurking within this question.


You are turning a moral judgement ("exploiting") to a more mechanical expression ("using leverage"). For critics of billionaires, the moral judgement is the whole point. Whether the "billionaire problem" belongs in the moral realm or in the dispassionate realm of math or economics is an ideological choice.


For this (me) critic of billionaires (the possibility of being one, not the humans who are), it’s not ideological. It’s based on an analysis of leverage (like GP’s comment), where the levers are necessarily some mix of advantage/privilege (feedback loop as discussed all over) and exploitation (not solely as a moral issue, but that issue is inescapable). It’s impossible to be/become a millionaire without access to, and activating, those levers. I don’t care about the moral character of the humans this analysis addresses. I care about the opportunity and moral failure it imposes on others.


I don't know if you intentionally switched from billionaire to millionaire, but it seems entirely possible (and even somewhat common) to become a mere millionaire by actions and careers that most would consider virtuous combined with sound saving and investing strategies. I don't know if my parents are actually millionaires or not, but if not, they're not far off and they were both public school teachers whose parents were blue collar steel mill, coal miner, and in nursing. Those are not careers marked by the excessive use of exploitive leverage by the employees.


Your parents used leverage as well in “investing strategies”. By putting your money in the stock market, you’re using the leverage wielded by all of corporate America.


No that was definitely an autocorrect misfire. Becoming a millionaire is accessible to most of the mid-upper middle class in the US. It does still press on the same levers, but increasingly in ways that are opaque to a the people entering.


if someone considers making a billion dollars to be some form of social theft, then making a million dollars by giving $100,000 to a fund manager .. may also constitute social theft for that critic.


Theft isn’t a word I used. I intentionally used the words advantage, leverage and exploitation the way I did for a reason.

Using your example, a billionaire doesn’t hand 1,000 more dollars to a hedge fund manager and get 1,000 times more wealth amplification. They hire a team of accountants and lawyers to do 1,000 times that base amplification each.

Making 100k and having a stock based retirement plan is an open drainage from the wealth factory, it definitely has access to the same levers, but it’s effectively the equivalent of a pension, just managed in the marketplace according to marketplace rules. That earning category is basically the automobile manufacturer lead/plant manager of our generation, the only difference is there’s more people who get that slice. People in this role largely don’t have the capacity to even think about increasing their leverage, they just get “benefits” and call it a night.

People who become billionaires have an entirely different approach. Their work is split between using whatever leverage they have access to, and whatever affords greater leverage. It’s mathematically the only way (given current dollar valuation) that you can get that many dollars.


I'm intentionally trying to separate the moral and the mechanical for the purpose of understanding--both understanding the structure of the way the world works and how we can make it better as well as understanding the arguments of those for whom it's ideological.

(See also the sibling comment to your by pdonis.)


I see what you mean here, but I think the shift in mode of analysis from moral to scientific blunts the force of the critique.


Another interesting perspective...

The term "using leverage" is often used in a creditor / debtor relationship. But it's funny how the term works because in that setting "using leverage" is usually associated with the debtor being the exploited one in the relationship.

More generally, in a given exploitive relationship it's not always obvious who is exploiting who.


Does using leverage not involved skillful means?


Yes - perhaps PG should have added qualifiers along the lines of "YC originated billionaires" versus attempting to cover all billionaires that have ever existed. It seems somewhat naive to say that every person with a billion in their bank account has built something and always is the best allocator of capital.

Oil and Gas billionaires leverage the fact that society hasn't figured out how to factor in negative environmental externalities. Consumer Staples billionaires leverage their supply chain monopolies and labor monopolies.

The original tech billionaires leveraged their early knowledge of computers/internet. Web 2.0/3.0 billionaires leverage the fact that society hasn't figured out how to appropriately regulate stuff that's similar but slightly different from their old school regulated counterparts (i.e. Uber, Airbnb).

In general, leveraging technology capabilities seems less exploitive than leveraging human/environmental resources/lack of regulation.


As a follow-up thought - perhaps when Forbes makes its Billionaires List, instead of a basic sort ranked by on net worth, Forbes should incorporate Environmental, Social and Governance (a.k.a. Triple Bottom Line accounting) like factors similar to those starting to be used for Equity investing [1] and do a final ranking based on ESG x net worth.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triple_bottom_line



> In general, leveraging technology capabilities seems less exploitive than leveraging human/environmental resources.

I see what you're getting at here, but I don't know that I completely buy it. Case in point: privacy. I guess it depends on how one defines exploitive.


That's a good point - it should probably include exploiting "lack of regulation" which digital privacy could fall under broadly. I was generally thinking of "tech" in the semiconductor, computing aspect which while perhaps has some negative environmental impact and can develop monopolies; generally doesn't exploit other humans, etc..


Absolutely any action could be framed as exploiting the lack of regulation against it, from getting milk at the grocery store to shipping electronic waste to third world countries for sketchy disposal. So that's not such an effective philosophical razor.


OK, I'll step up and say it:

I have no idea what "leverage" means in this text. From context I can tell it's something bad.

I understand "leverage" in mechanics. I also understand that in "corporate-talk" it's just a synonym to "use".


I'm using a generalization of the mechanics definition of "leverage" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lever). A mechanism by which a small input can result in a larger output.


OK. By that definition leverage is a wonderful thing everyone should use!


No, the lever is amoral, the way it is wielded is the result of moral choice. Using debt as leverage enables people to own their own homes. Using technology as leverage enables goods and evils: widespread communication, widespread surveillance, wealth inequality (being discussed here).


> OK. By that definition leverage is a wonderful thing everyone should use!

Sure. But even setting aside whether the ability to use it is evenly distributed, the availability of resources to be leveraged definitely isn't, so the rich get richer even with relatively passive strategies.


Slavery was leveraging the forced labor of other humans. Leverage is not always "wonderful".


Fitting slavery into "A mechanism by which a small input can result in a larger output" feels like a stretch.

But I agree that there is moral and amoral leverage. I of course only love the moral kind.


I would say that slavery absolutely fits into this broad generalized definition of leverage that I am using. Here is another example:

In the case of the founder, as I have mentioned, hiring someone gives them leverage. But conversely, a person taking a job with a large company gives the employee leverage. For instance, as a Google software engineer, you have the ability to command huge amounts of computing hardware that Google has at its disposal. Different roles may have varying degrees of ability to leverage the corporation's scale to their purposes but it's certainly a very real thing for many roles.


The problem with this definition is that slave owners didn't think that there was anything morally wrong with owning slaves. If they objected to slavery then why would they keep their slaves?


>why would they keep their slaves?

Same reason they might get them to start out?

Wall Street originally was built to trade shares in corporate plantations.

Many plantations did not get going with ethnicity-based slave labor, it was voluntary indenturement as a result of extreme inequality relative to the royal shareholders of these non-free-enterprise corporations, i.e. economic slavery as a foundation for the lowest-class labor force to begin with.

It's a slippery slope from there, keeping them down on the farm.

Don't forget the American colonies were founded by (royal) multinational corporations for the benefit of multinational corporations.

But B.Franklin and those guys came along and wanted independent non-royal corporations, and the next thing you know, it's the USA on the Eastern Seaboard with its well-developed ports and united plantations.

And they were trading shares right there in Manhattan, on that previously underutilized street with the characteristic old wall.

Otherwise not much had changed from how they did it in London, or it would have been an even more difficult transition.

Imagine what it was like under bondage when a downturn or business model failure pressured a worker to tend 5 acres instead of 2. When 2 was already quite tiring and not very rewarding.

And with the shareholders up on Wall Street having financial control, when the market comes back nicely the shareholders recover even more nicely if little or none of the prosperity is intentionally returned to the now much-more-productive & hard-working laborers.

Simply because the system is made to extract from bonded laborers, and they are the lowest-hanging fruit when shareholder returns need to be maintained during a downturn.

Wall Street volatility gives some of them the chance to rinse and repeat each time before their big wigs get repowdering.

For real major upsets or windfalls the banks can go further and adjust the terms on their notes to most strongly leverage the situation.

The mint can change the value of its legal tender notes in response too, so far only periodic devaluation for the dollar, no two-for-one splits in your favor or anything like that for you wage-earners even in the best of times.

If every citizen were generously issued two new dollars for every old dollar you had in liquid cash at the time, you can expect to continue working for the same dollar pay as before and have the same debt payments to minimize upset, but who would benefit most anyway?

Don't even think about a reverse split which is severely in your disfavor by comparison.

Better get accustommed to what a dollar won't buy any more now, a change in value either way and you'll be worse off.

Turns out dilution of certificates is the most effective if not expedient way to overcome liberty & justice for all.

If you're going to be a billionaire anyway, build something with real value added that's more than worth it for as many people as possible, with enough success to completely commit to avoiding significant negative consequences.

That's what billionaires are supposed to be there for.

None of that fake stuff.

Gag me with a silver spoon if you can't build anything real of widespread benefit, plus avoid negative outcomes with all that money.

Something that would help would be more benevolent billionaires willing to pay whatever it takes to bypass our current crooked political parties. There simply still exists the same need to admit only the most ethical to Washington (or preferably a new capitol) before Wall Street can be expected to deviate from the plantation model these parties sustain.

Looks to me like pg has built YC to be more worthwhile than not, even if every company has not created value itself.

One measure of success is the increased number of opportunites for upcoming entrepreneurs to have an open-ended upside if they are ambitious and can build a scalable system.

Often this can be leveraged to exponential growth by wise application of capital, without the need for involvement of destructive greed of any kind.

Depending on where in the food chain the food for growth comes from, some businesspeople are bound to make better billionaires than others, especially if they can avoid harmful wealth extraction from the most vulnerable workers and populations, and substitute responsible value creation with resulting widespread prosperity instead.

Works best when you build something people really want and always give them more than their money's worth.


"force" or "coerce", but more "civilized", generally more related to using indirect pressure, probably based on manipulating some larger system.

Think how a mobster in a movie might use it, "we leveraged the pictures of the cop to get warning of any raids". Same meaning, just about things that are legal.


No, you’re reading it wrong. It’s meant in the mechanical sense of amplifying a small force.


> I think that leverage is the core kernel of truth lurking within this question.

I like this idea, because it focuses the ethical/moral/policy question on something that seems to me to be much more tractable: what kinds of leverage should society allow you to use, and to what extent?


Using leverage is one aspect. Another is persuading people (e.g. to invest in you), and this game can be dishonest. And in our system winner-takes-all holds: even if you are only 1% better than anyone else, you receive the full 100% of rewards.

One route to becoming a billionaire seems to go like this: you persuade a group of investors to make a pile of money that's so big that you can corner a market. Which is often true. But is it fair to the people already in this market? And is it fair that it makes you a billionaire?


IMO, for this context, leverage is within the realm of individual incentive vs. pressure, not that you "leveraged" your DB's guarantees for worry-free scaling.


This isn't a straw man, it is an extremely common belief and it deserves to be addressed and debunked. My social media is stuffed to the brim with people posting exactly this sentiment.

It is true that there are other, more reasonable beliefs.


I think Paul is fundamentally not understanding the argument behind “billionaires exploit workers.” It isn’t that billionaires are fundamentally bad people or that they’ve accumulated their wealth through misdeeds.

But what it is is that it’s basically impossible to accumulate that amount of wealth through work. Instead, you have to be able to capture the difference between the value of someone else’s work and what you pay them to do it. And you have to do that at scale. So Jeff Bezos has figured out how to pay people $X and make $X $Y off their labor, pocket a significant portion of that $Y and do it for the hundreds of thousands of people that work for Amazon. Nowhere in this argument is anyone saying that this practice should not be allowed or that he’s done something wrong. But what people are saying is that the narrative that billionaires built their wealth themselves is false and that they should be taxed heavily in recognition of the fact that they built their wealth off of the work of others.

The billionaires Paul identifies and helps create are no different, other than the possible exception that they rely on market’s expectation of future exploitation of workers’ value rather than having actually done it already. Paul would never fund a founder who wanted to divide all profits among employees. Therefore, based on that single fact alone, he is identifying future billionaires based on their willingness to exploit their workers...to pay them less than the value of their work.


This is basically the labour theory of value and ignores the value of capital and organisation.

Some guy delivering stuff in a garage is not going to be nowhere near as productive as an Amazon worker.

The crucial bit that people miss is that it is capital, goodwill and organisation allows employees to generate so much money in the first place.

Basically the sum is greater than its parts.

If you want to know where profit comes from(assuming a well functioning market) in a modern economics point of view, look into Subjective theory of value and marginal economics.


Okay, so pg posits that the people he finds and helps to become billionaires get there because they have some special insight into a solution to something people need.

He's definitely right that it is valuable to society that people who have such insights are given the opportunity to build their solutions. We all win from being in a society where more of our needs are met.

What's perhaps slightly more dubious is the idea that, by bringing that insight, the person who has it deserves to own a billion times more of a vote in how our society is run than the average person.

Because that's what wealth, what a dollar, is: it's a voting share in how society spends its time and resources. As the owner of a dollar, you get to decide whether people spend their time growing and picking and shipping some plants and making them into some bread and then putting together a sandwich for you, or if you'd rather they dig up some rocks, extract some silicon from them, imprint it with complicated patterns, and then construct it into a device you can put in your pocket that lets you see photographs of influencers.

The pg thesis here is that instigating an idea, creating something that doesn't exist, is not inherently exploitative. That is true.

But what is perhaps arguable is, that in delivering on that original founder's vision, one which attracts many of those votes for how society should spend its time from many people, and thus accumulates billions of dollars of revenue - that many people other than the original founder end up creating the organization and building the factory and working the machines and writing the software and actually serving the customers to make that solution real - a bunch of people other than the founder are involved, and... well, if you choose to structure the rewards of that organization so that all those billions of votes in the future of society accrue to the founder, while only thousands of them accrue to the people who do the work of making it happen... that it's possible to construe that distribution of rewards as maybe slightly exploitative?


> deserves to own a billion times more of a vote in how our society is run than the average person.

The average person has $60k-ish a year. There is nobody out there with 60 trillion.

Regardless, the billionaire has to actually spend the money to get goods and services from the market. While his/her needs will dwarf an individual, they are still just a drop in the bucket compared to the middle class. This is why all of the largest companies/product markets/etc all cater to the middle class.

The only way billionaires can actually get leverage on how society is run is through direct monetary influence of politicians, but that’s going to happen whether the average income is $60k or $200k.


The average American might make 60k; the average person makes more like 2. The billionaire also doesn’t have an income of a billion a year, he has an accumulated net worth of a billion. Median wealth is measured in thousands of dollars. And the numbers on the left half of that distribution are very low indeed.

But anyway, whether it’s a billion times more or merely a million times more, the difference is still staggeringly huge.

If you have a dollar, how many more do you need to make a billion? About a billion.

If you have a million dollars, how many more do you need to make a billion? About a billion.


> deserves to own a billion times more of a vote in how our society is run

But not for all aspects of society. Pre-democracy, kings and royalties get to make these choices. But in western democracies, you at least have an unalienable vote which is independent of your economic output. This vote means that no matter how many billions get spent, this vote is up to your own decision.


Yes, the point is that democracy can exist in more places. For example in the workplace or even within certain supply chains (such as food production).


Your vote helps dictate how some of the rules of society change and how some chunk of society’s wealth gets spent. But your money is how you vote on how everybody else in society spends the most precious resource they have: their time.


The value of any commodity, therefore, to the person who possesses it, and who means not to use or consume it himself, but to exchange it for other commodities, is equal to the quantity of labour which it enables him to purchase or command. Labour, therefore, is the real measure of the exchangeable value of all commodities.

-- Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, Book 1,Chapter 5 https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Wealth_of_Nations/Book_I/...


Adam Smith's labour theory of value hasn't been used in modern economics. And has tons of problems with it. That and Ricardos version is probably the basis of the Marx version. They we're the popular interpretations at the time and he was probably inspired by them.

The marginal revolution happened in economics and a lot of those problems disappeared. A lot the things they couldn't explain suddenly could be using marginal economics and subjective preferences.

Marx simply didn't have the modern tools we have now. In fact if he was around afterwords it is likely he would never came up with Marxian LTV.

Frankly the only reason for it's popularity now, is because of it's association with communism. It provides the moral basis for it. As a result you've had a lot of people desperately trying to get it work in modern economic models as well without much luck.

But you can critique market economics using marginal theory of value. It just means markets have failures, not they are morally wrong at the core.


My principle point is to show that labour theory of value is not inherently or originally Marxist as is often presumed or implied.

My own view is that the entire value discussion is tremendously muddled, confuses multiple issues, and is used to justify or support any number of spurious or specious arguments, generaally over policy.

The marginalists mistake price for value. Most orthodox economics does likewise.


Really? Because value and market price are separate things in marginalism.

Using the rational model somebody will only purchase something when it's price is below how much the person values the object.

It's related to consumer surplus. To make it measurable we use money as an approximate judge to work out much somebody values it. But the market price and how much somebody values something are different things in marginalism at the core.


It may depend on who you talk to, but Isee much equivocation between concets of price and value, in both micra ('wealth creation" / 'wealth creator") and macro (GDP) domains.

But yes, costs, price, and value are three distinct, though connected, concepts.


You have to understand most writing is aimed towards the layman, so they use market price as a proxy.

I hate the term wealth creator as well. But it certainly is possible to create to wealth. If you take things that people don't value that much, use them in a way to provide something that people do value. You have created wealth.


I'm curious what you mean by that, because it seems to me the exact opposite. Orthodox Economics 101 introduces consumer surplus precisely to separate price from value.


That would be a more correct view.

In much debate and discussion I see "market value" substituted for "value". Often the implication is a vague one, as withmuch equivocation. pg's argumentventures there.

Keep in mind that Smith, Ricardo, and Marx each commit this error, including in the Smith passage I quoted. So do the Marginalists, or at leaast most of them.

Mariana Mazzucato may be an exception. (I've just discovered her, still going through her work.)

https://www.ted.com/talks/mariana_mazzucato_what_is_economic...


Separating value and price is 101 of marginal economics.

There couldn't be consumer surplus without it. I don't know how you could be marginalist and believe market price = value for user.


In theory. In practice just about every quantitative method or metric used to measure social welfare or individual well being falls back on price. And since our culture has a fetish for positivism and anything that looks like “math” those are the fixed assumptions that guide our decision making.


The fundamental principle of marginalism is, er, marginalism: that the derivative of supply or demand functions is what determines market price (not to be confused with "value", though it often is). The marginal cost or value.


> The crucial bit that people miss is that it is capital, goodwill and organisation allows employees to generate so much money in the first place.

You're ignoring the fact that capital has most of the systemic advantages such as various information asymmetries, and thus reaps most of the rewards.

Capital also exerts quite a lot of influence to ensure that labor markets don't get too tight (eg. economic policies that target unemployment rates that aren't "too low") that might somewhat counter capital's negotiating advantage.

And when that still isn't enough of an advantage, colluding to limit the mobility of labor among competitors is absolutely on the table, because even if caught the consequences aren't particularly severe.


That analysis is not inherently dependent on the labour theory of value. You can frame it that way, but value need not come into it at all. Business owners are capital owners; they have power which arises from the fact that they own a business. They can offer jobs, which everyone needs, but no individual employee is necessary to them. It's a buyer's market, and as a result, the business owner has a lot more power to set wages. This leads to the bulk of the money flowing up to the business owner.

What we wind up with is a system where business owners have substantially more money than workers, purely as a product of the fact that they can use their power to make this happen. If someone uses their power to divert money into their own pockets away from people who need it more than they do, they're exploiting others.

It's not the fact that the organization Amazon exists to coordinate labour that we have a problem with. It does increase efficiency. It's the fact that Jeff Bezos has total control over it & uses that power to massively benefit himself at the expense of all his other employees, who have a much greater need for the money.

If George Washington had argued that, by virtue of having been the one to found the country, he was entitled to rule it as a dictator, we would take issue with that. While he may be a competent leader, he must still be accountable to the public, lest he use his power to benefit himself at the cost of the public well-being. Hence, democracy. It's strange to me that people are so unwilling to apply the same analysis to corporate hierarchy.


Nothing is stopping anyone from starting a competing business, and offering a better deal to the workers.

There's no objective way to say how much "work" is worth - only subjective. This subjective measure is given by the market rate. And in a functioning free market, this should give you consensus as to what some "work" is worth.

> the one to found the country ... people are so unwilling to apply the same analysis to corporate hierarchy.

to have found the country, he could've asked to be a dictator. The problem is that the founding is based on the principle of equality (at least at the time, of men...). So if he chose to turn around and take that equality away, everyone would just reject his founding. People in the country are attracted to the idea of equality, not to the guy named Washington.

However, a business does not start on the same premise - that of equality and rights (for all employees). The business started by the business owner is based on the premise of pay for work. That's as far as the relationship goes.

Anyone (in the USA) can start a business on a different principle - no one will stop you other than natural forces like competitiveness! And i think some businesses do that - a family business for example, which shares the work, and shares all the profits between them (and don't hire employees).


> Nothing is stopping anyone from starting a competing business, and offering a better deal to the workers.

Nothing except not having the capital to do it.

> There's no objective way to say how much "work" is worth

Fortunately I explicitly said at the beginning that my argument wasn't going to involve talking about the value of work at all.

> everyone would just reject his founding

Literally every country up until that point except perhaps Athens had been a dictatorship of some sort. Democracy doesn't just happen -- you have to make it happen. There was no presupposition that everyone should have equal rights before then; that was the innovation of it. There's no reason why that same innovation couldn't be extended into industry.

> Anyone can start a business on a different principle

And anyone can start a country on a different principle. But you have to have a lot of resources to do so, and unless you found it on equality, it'll be terrible for most of the inhabitants. So, given that we have a government to regulate society, I see no reason to let people found businesses based on principles which will lead to such gross wealth inequality.


> That analysis is not inherently dependent on the labour theory of value. You can frame it that way, but value need not come into it at all. Business owners are capital owners; they have power which arises from the fact that they own a business. They can offer jobs, which everyone needs, but no individual employee is necessary to them. It's a buyer's market, and as a result, the business owner has a lot more power to set wages. This leads to the bulk of the money flowing up to the business owner.

That's how a lot of countries are governed but it doesn't actually have to be the case. There are places where there are more businesses than employers which gives more power to employees. A lot of export driven economies are basically based around the principle that workers in those countries are cheaper than any other country. Governments introduce policies that reduce the purchasing power of employees over time.

>What we wind up with is a system where business owners have substantially more money than workers, purely as a product of the fact that they can use their power to make this happen.

Yeah the real problem is that governments love to listen to what businesses have to say at the expense of workers.


> If someone uses their power to divert money into their own pockets away from people who need it more than they do, they're exploiting others

So when the dinner bill comes and you are given the power to choose how much to tip a waiter/waitress, do you exploit them by not giving them all of the money you can afford?

When shopping for a car, do you look for the dealer with the highest markup knowing how tough care salesman have it and pay asking price?


If I were especially wealthy, sure. Ultimately, the only way we can judge our actions is by their consequences. If I'm a middle-class person, giving another middle-class person extra cash won't benefit them much more than it hurts me. If I'm wealthy, the situation changes; I need each dollar substantially less than other people do.

But frankly, I'm not interested in moralizing individual's actions at all. I'm not interested in going "oh Jeff Bezos is a BAD PERSON for X Y and Z." I think that's silly. I want to use the legislative system to raise is taxes and put his money to better ends whether he likes it or not. Whether Jeff Bezos is "good" is entirely irrelevant.


> ignores the value of capital and organisation

it doesn't. that capital was built by labor.


And indeed those workers who get paid, can save and invest that money to enhance the productivity of other workers and get a return. Generally the higher risk of losing the money, the more return you can potentially get. Some of those workers will hit the jackpot and get a great return.

Is it morally wrong?


> And indeed those workers who get paid, can save and invest that money to enhance the productivity of other workers and get a return. Generally the higher risk of losing the money, the more return you can potentially get. Some of those workers will hit the jackpot and get a great return.

> Is it morally wrong?

Not per-se, but as the denominations grow, society is structured to privatize most of the upside of that risk, while socializing the downside, but at the lower end of the scale the reverse takes hold.

In other words, even aside from the way the ratio between CEO and average employee pay has ballooned over the past fifty years, upper management gets bonuses when the company does well, labor gets downsized when the company does poorly.

Another way this plays out is that if you owe the bank a few hundred thousand dollars and the company you work for goes out of business, you have a problem. If you owe the bank a few hundred million dollars and the company you work for goes out of business, the bank has a problem.


the labor theory of value isn't a theory of morality. if you don't believe that exploitation is wrong, then you're free to use the LTV to maximize exploitation, which is what many ex-communists have done to great success in places like south korea, vietnam, and china.


LTV drawn to its logical conclusion leads to exploitation of every worker almost by definition. It is the core of the market economics = exploitation argument.

Profit is simply value extracted from workers.

As opposed to the arbitrage of the subjective preferences of multiple actors. The modern interpretation of how value can just appear.

Those workers who got a return on capital delayed consumption now, for more consumption later. That's a preference. I don't think that's a bad thing. But you can see how over a long time it can generate massive inequality.

But I don't think the fundamental mechanisms of how this occured is particularly exploitive.

Where as LTV pretty much just says it your just stealing value.


yes, one might make a moral judgement that exploitation is a tendency of capitalism, if one believes that people who control more capital have structural power over those who control less or no capital, thus narrowing the viable subjective preferences in a way that is "bad".

but ltv on its own provides no such judgement, it simply describes the material relationship.


LTV on its own shows very little predictive value in the real world. Which is why it isn't used.

Marginal economics explains and models a lot things we see in reality.

I'm much more likely to believe a model that has predictive ability.


I agree with that predictive ability is important but I have seen no evidence that marginal economics has predictive ability. You yourself even say it "explains and models" which is not the same as predicts.


Leaning on the predictive power of "the dismal science" isn't a strong base to argue from.


That is, if you assume the labor theory of value is true, then UK-Al05's criticism is wrong, so the labor theory of value remains unrefuted. That's... not a very convincing argument.


99% of people who invoke the labour theory of value misunderstand it. Welcome to the 99%.


Please don't post snarky dismissals to HN. If you know more than others, the best way to respond is to share some of what you know, so the rest of us can learn. If you don't want to do that or don't have time, that's fine, but in that case please don't post. Letting the internet be wrong about everything is the primary survival skill we all have to work on anyhow.

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html


Sorry, as you know it's a contentious issue and we get tired of repeating the same information. Then again, I'm sure you get tired of repeating yourself too.


That's certainly the case. But the internet is basically stateless. No matter how many times you've explained something in the past, statistically speaking you're always talking to an audience who's never heard it before. Since it's neither nice nor effective to punish people for that by venting one's frustrations at them, the only thing that really works is to patiently repeat oneself and manage the frustration internally.


Sometimes snarky dismissals are appropriate. Trying to hold everything to some academic standard of discourse is implausible when we have deliberate bad actors pushing disingenuous arguments that - by this standard - must be repetitively exhaustively deconstructed time and time again.

Expecting that is how you convince a large subset of folks to never bother with said deconstruction, and ultimately let bad ideas roam free and otherwise get adopted by impressionable / gullible minds.

Snark is there to suggest the reader go do their own research.


Actually snark works quite a bit better in academic discourse, where the communities are smaller and more cohesive. It doesn't work well in large, open internet forums like this one, where it basically just triggers an avalanche of tedious and ever-worse behavior. I'm not making a moral point—rather an empirical one about this particular type of internet environment. Here's a related explanation from a few weeks ago if anyone cares: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25130956

In a context like this, snark doesn't encourage people to "go do their own research" or save "impressionable / gullibile minds", nor is that really what people care about. (If it were, they'd expend energy doing those things in a way that might actually work.) Rather, its function is to vent one's own frustrations by translating them into concentrated language. The effect this has on community is to pollute it with fumes.

This is destructive of the ecosystem, unless one is happy with a single species, the snark, consuming all the others. Therefore we all need to find better ways of self-regulating and containing our frustrations. Then we can address other people in a way that has a chance of connecting with them.


It is unfortunate flagging censors the posts. Was interested to get more context in the thread and instead it’s hidden entirely.

Regarding the rest, I’m happy to simply disagree with you having observed this in practice in other communities. It’s not black and white.


One thing to remember about online communities is that size is by far the most important factor. Things work very differently at different orders of magnitude. If you know of a community of HN's size or greater (millions of users a month) where snarky dismissals have helpful systemic effects, I'd like to know what it is, because I don't currently believe that's possible.

As for flagging, what thread are you referring to?


What's disingenuous is assuming people who disagree with you (and who present supporting arguments) are knowingly bad actors. Actually, they're much more likely to be normal people with sincere beliefs.

And we all know that nobody is going to "go do their own research" because you snarkily disagreed with them. People do research when you make it easy for them to do, not when you drive-by insult them with an unreasonable reply. Drawing conclusions without providing reasons is literally being unreasonable.

There are billions of people with bad opinions on the internet. Nobody is forcing you to educate all of them. If you decide to try, it's predictable that you will at some point become tired of repeating yourself. At that point, you have two choices:

A) take a break

B) post crappy comments and justify it by saying you're tired


Never suggested everyone who posts shitty arguments is doing so disingenuously. Just suggesting there are many who do.


Comments like this are useless, bc you're declaring someone is wrong without any explanation of (a) why they're wrong, and (b) what's actually correct.

The result is that I have no reason to believe you, or to even understand your point. Because you've essentially made no point.


Oh I understand it(well sort of because even Communists can't agree), I've read all theory about Labour theory of value.

Marx never defined the terms about value rigorously, so it can be whatever people want it to be.

I know all about socially necessary value, etc and all hacks people have applied to it over the years. There are tons of interpretations about it.

It still has zero predictive ability in the real world.

Subjective preferences explains where profit comes from with much greater predictive ability. And models real world phenomenon we see.


You left out a key part in this simplified formula - you pay $X and make $Y from the work, and you do this for N people. If you leave X and Y the same and scale N down to like 50 or 100 employees, you have a good old hard working American business that's creating solid working class jobs. When you scale N up to an almost inconceivably large number (Amazon has over a million employees) you get an owner with an inconceivably large fortune.

The problem with just taxing it all away to prevent him from being a billionaire is the money is tied to control of the company, so it's equivalent to saying nobody can build a business bigger than some arbitrary limit. Which is equivalent to saying nobody can build a business with more than a certain arbitrary number of employees. Where would any of us work if that were the case? It's not at all a given that you would get millions of new small and medium businesses that would completely make up for that gap you'd have from lopping off every big company at a couple billion dollar market cap. The world is just not zero-sum like that as much as progressives might (either deceptively, or obliviously) pretend that it is.

> Paul would never fund a founder who wanted to divide all profits among employees

While YC might not recommend a founder take literally 0% equity, they are hugely supportive of founders giving more equity to employees and keeping less for themselves and have done a lot to move the industry in that direction https://blog.samaltman.com/employee-equity


> The problem with just taxing it all away to prevent him from being a billionaire is the money is tied to control of the company, so it's equivalent to saying nobody can build a business bigger than some arbitrary limit.

Limits are hardly arbitrary. If you control a large enough chunk of economic output that your decisions have distortionary effects on other markets and people it’s not an “arbitrary” standard that this should be disallowed. I assume everyone on HN would be pretty pro something like net neutrality to constrain gatekeepers from carving a slice out of all business done on the internet for themselves on these grounds. But, for some reason, people seem to have trouble connecting how the same logic applies to distortionary control over the media or something like urban transit.


So make laws to prevent monopoly, rather than making size/employee count based.


> So make laws to prevent monopoly, rather than making size/employee count based.

Yes. That's generally what "no billionaires" policies are focused on. But "market power" is still a useful consideration.


You would be some sort of metrics to say when something has become a monopoly wouldn't you? Why can't company size be such a metric?


Or that business with a million employees could just return a greater share of the wealth to the employees instead of the owners, thereby avoiding triggering the marginal tax


“Return”? The employees never had it in the first place. Amazon runs on razor thin margins on the retail side so I pay $50 for a keyboard that cost them $45 wholesale + $1 to store + $3 ship + $0.20 labor for the 10 seconds employees interact with it. That 80 cents of profit goes into the business and is used to expand.

Jeff Bezos is rich because his ownership stake (stock shares) are worth a lot of money on the stock market. He did not get paid out profits (amazon doesn’t pay dividends). There is nothing here than even makes sense to ‘return’ to the employees.


Hmm, that's weird. I've never seen a more expensive online store than Amazon. All the small online shops I've visited offer lower prices for identical products. They also generally have a better selection within their niche so you don't end up overpaying for products that are way more capable than you need. It's also much easier to find products on those small online shops thanks to aggregators like geizhals.de

Meanwhile searching products on Amazon is still a shitshow and it's generally not possible to disable third party listings.


The Beatles did not exploit the labor of people pressing their records to become wealthy. Those same people pressed records for other artists who did not make it big, or even fell flat. Their labor input was exactly the same.

The difference was in the songs the Beatles created. The Beatles created those songs, not the laborers who pressed the records.

Or take Stevie Nicks, who google reports is worth $100m. Are the stage hands who set things up for a concert creating that wealth for her? Nope. Those stage hands could do exactly the same for my unrecognized musical talent, I could pay them the same, and would lose gigantic amounts of money.

Is Stevie exploiting those stage hands? If she is, then wouldn't those stage hands doing the exact same work for me be exploiting me for my foolish money?

Bottom line is people are entitled to what they can negotiate for. They don't give it back if their employer loses money, so why would they be entitled to what their employer made?


So let the beatles pocket their billion, and we'll collect most it back at the end of the tax year. How's that?


> So let the beatles pocket their billion, and we'll collect most it back at the end of the tax year. How's that?

Sounds about right. Meanwhile the owners of the capital are free to make money off the float (and pay capital gains rates on those profits).


Thievery.


Taxation isn't thievery.


That depends on why the tax is applied.


"you have to be able to capture the difference between the value of someone else’s work and what you pay them to do it"

This implicitly assumes that "the value of someone else's work" is independent of the context in which that work is done.

The reason Jeff can pay someone less than the value (to Jeff) of that person's work is that, somewhere other than Amazon, that person's work would be less valuable.

The reason is Jeff must pay someone less than the value they bring is because that's the only way for a business to make a profit. If you pay me $100, and I add exactly $100 of value to your business, then you're no better off than if you hadn't hired me at all.


> This implicitly assumes that "the value of someone else's work" is independent of the context in which that work is done.

Not really, since no one is arguing that this worker-capital relationship should change. That the synergy exists is a good thing.

But the tax burden of the two groups is what’s at issue. On the one side, you have the “they built it, they should keep it” folks. On the other side are those that believe they built it on a foundation of societal investments and the work of others and should pay most of it back in taxes. No one is arguing that they didn’t built something of value.

> If you pay me $100, and I add exactly $100 of value to your business, then you're no better off than if you hadn't hired me at all

Ahh the refrain of the myopic capitalist. In your hypothetical situation, we’re all better off because I’ve gainfully employed someone, added purchasing power to the overall economy and added value to the world since, presumably, the customers who paid me $100 received something they value above $100. To whatever small degree, putting $100 in the hands of my employee who will then spend it also creates more purchasing power for my own customers as that money circulates through the economy.

This is one of the problems with such an individualistic view of capitalism...it utterly disregards benefits that are not directly seen by the individual. We don’t have to become socialist or communist to start to provide greater emphasis on the contribution of workers and society as a whole. We can keep the market forces that allow for efficient allocation of capital while putting policies in place that provide for those who aren’t at the top of hierarchies and whose contributions are less unique. This isn’t about preventing businesses like Amazon from existing, it’s about ensuring that the people who work for Amazon can live a comfortable and dignified life and that Jeff Bezos should only be fabulously wealthy instead of obscenely wealthy.


> Not really, since no one is arguing that this worker-capital relationship should change.

Maybe this would be better stated as "...since many of us are not arguing that...".


The vast majority of capital is owned by very few people. What makes you think it's an efficient allocation ?


> We don’t have to become socialist or communist to start to provide greater emphasis on the contribution of workers and society as a whole.

That's... getting rather close to the definition of Market Socialism, actually (depending on how much greater the emphasis is). It's certainly firmly within the range of Social Democracy (which USAian conservatives would happily label as 'socialism').


Bezo's wealth comes from his shares, which he had since the beginning. 20 years ago, anyone who worked at Amazon could have used a small fraction of their wages to buy Amazon shares. If they had, they'd be millionaires. However, that's a risk that only already rich people are willing to take.


Tell that to Amazon warehouse worker making $10-20 an hour that instead of putting food on the table, roof on the head of his family, he should have bought Amazon shares. Bezo is epitome of what’s wrong with America and American “capitalist” system.


How?

$10-20 an hour is better than minimum wage and a few years ago I worked a labor job that "only" paid $12.00/hr.

Is Jeff Bezo's personal net worth the causation behind someone not being able to support a family?

What about Zuckerberg, what is the average salary of a FB employee? If its above a certain amount is that a "moral" billionaire?

I would argue that pursuit of profits can lead to bad things for employees... but I never understood going after billionaires when their wealth is almost exclusively because they created a company worth billions. If that were the case, everyone making minimum wage should have seen their salaries skyrocket when these billionaires lost great %'s of their wealth over the last year.

I personally see rent/CoL being the problem. I don't know of solutions but I do feel going after billionaires is just a waste of energy. I'm a bit bias as my work has some crossover with "wealth and finance" (trading stocks) but all too often these ideas about "taxing rich people" just blow up and leave everyone worse off.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_financial_transaction_...

TL;DR, they tax each trade on the market. It makes a fraction of what it was projected to make and never comes close to making more than they did before by just taxing the capital gains (profit from trading). Its an idea I've seen showing up more and more.


My view is that "creating" a billion dollar company is a misleading description. I view it more as "capturing" a billion. You mention FB. With network effects, it is inevitable that there will be a few large dominate social media companies. If it wasn't Zuckerberg it would have been someone else. I view these people not as pioneers pushing us forward but as lottery winners. Why should the lucky one on top capture most of the value? The people like Newton and Einstein who actually had revolutionary ideas were not even close to billionaires.

I am not sure why you feel that "taxing rich people" makes everyone worse off. 60 years ago a man with a high school diploma could support a middle class life for a family of 4. Taxes on the highest earners were much higher than they were today. 60 years before that there was no federal income tax and people worked 14 hour days in dangerous conditions while Carnegie and Rockefeller amassed wealth on scales not seen until today.

But yes I agree with you that a tax on each market trade is lol stupid. But I think it is a straw-man argument along with setting the tax rate at 100%.


> I am not sure why you feel that "taxing rich people" makes everyone worse off. 60 years ago a man with a high school diploma could support a middle class life for a family of 4. Taxes on the highest earners were much higher than they were today.

Tax rates were higher but there were far more deductions. The effective rate was similar to that of today.

60-70 years ago a man with an HS diploma could support a family due to massive demand for labor. This was mainly because America was the economic engine that provided for the reconstruction of the world after WW2. Go back another 15 years to pre-WW2 and shit was pretty bleak even with high taxes.

> You mention FB. With network effects, it is inevitable that there will be a few large dominate social media companies. If it wasn't Zuckerberg it would have been someone else.

It was someone else, it was MySpace and Friendster and other trashy shit. Facebook brought a vastly better user experience that seems mundane in retrospect but it won because it was so much better. Like it or not, Facebook did innovate a lot early on and had a unique, clean, consistent experience. They made social media mainstream. It was not a given this would happen.


> Facebook brought a vastly better user experience that seems mundane in retrospect but it won because it was so much better.

My impression is more that FB won because of Zuck's talent/luck/vision for weird acquisitions (instagram, whatsapp) that paid off in ways nobody foresaw. Facebook was by no means the clear winner then, and I would argue most of it's success since then has been first-mover in global markets. FB engagement has been in decline in the US for years.


>Why should the lucky one on top capture most of the value?

Because they were first or best to do it. MySpace was already a thing, several other social media sites but today they're mostly dead while FB is not. Luck does have a lot to do with it. I feel trying to quantify luck though will get us no where. Trying to "correct" for it, even more so.

>The people like Newton and Einstein who actually had revolutionary ideas were not even close to billionaires.

Do you think they should be? I cannot think of a reason... but I do understand what you mean.

>I am not sure why you feel that "taxing rich people" makes everyone worse off.

I think it would be hard to quantify it but yes, I do think people are "worse off" - not by much though, if you're going by metrics like salary. I'm thinking about all the advances we've made. I don't see half the stuff happening if not for the ability for excess money to be invested. I mean, the very thing we're talking on for instance (and yea maybe it could have been on some other site like FB or reddit) but those are also because of investing.

>60 years ago a man with a high school diploma could support a middle class life for a family of 4. Taxes on the highest earners were much higher than they were today. 60 years before that there was no federal income tax and people worked 14 hour days in dangerous conditions while Carnegie and Rockefeller amassed wealth on scales not seen until today.

I don't see how the two are related though. There were a lot of things different about back then vs today. I would like to see the focus be on rent and CoL as I see those as way more of a problem than if Jeff Bezos has $50b or $100b. (his wealth has fluctuated like crazy with covid and divorce).

>But yes I agree with you that a tax on each market trade is lol stupid. But I think it is a straw-man argument

I'm glad you agree and also glad its not like twitter or reddit where we have to try to score cheap condescending shots in to "argue" lol... but alas. I would say if its the very thing presidential candidates like Bernie and Andrew Yang are saying they would like to get done, I would consider that beyond a straw man.

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/why-bernie-s... https://www.yang2020.com/policies/financial-transaction-tax/

It is also what people are pushing as a solution for student debt.

I agree the 100% tax is a strawman though! ... Unless a significant figure proposes it, I will always say that's a strawman lol


>Because they were first or best to do it. MySpace was already a thing, several other social media sites but today they're mostly dead while FB is not. Luck does have a lot to do with it. I feel trying to quantify luck though will get us no where. Trying to "correct" for it, even more so.

I think this is a fundamental feature a winner take all/most market. FB beat out myspace and happened to win, but if not them it would have been someone else. 5 billion internet connected social animals is the value, not the app that facebook built.

>Do you think they should be? I cannot think of a reason... but I do understand what you mean.

I don't think they should be because I don't think billionaires should exist. But I do think the value they created was much bigger than the value Zuck created. They were better at creating value than capturing it.

>I don't see how the two are related though. There were a lot of things different about back then vs today. I would like to see the focus be on rent and CoL as I see those as way more of a problem than if Jeff Bezos has $50b or $100b. (his wealth has fluctuated like crazy with covid and divorce).

The two are fundamentally related. Gdp per capita is higher now than it was in the 60s, yet the median person is no better off. That can only be explained through how the wealth distribution has changed between now and then. Whether Jeff Bezos is worth 50B or 100B doesn't matter too much. The issue is that the wealthiest are capturing a larger percentage of income now than they did 60 years ago. I don't view our age as being more innovative than a time where we invented the atom bomb and went to the moon and other cool shit. And we paid for it with taxes! Jeff Bezos isn't more innovative than those guys, he is just having his workers piss in bottles to squeeze out every last cent. It is a return to the bad old days of Rockefeller.

>I would consider that beyond a straw man.

Did not realize that Yang supported it, learn something new everyday. Would like to hear his reasoning beyond the short blurb on his website as he has always struck me as deep thinker.


>I think this is a fundamental feature a winner take all/most market. FB beat out myspace and happened to win, but if not them it would have been someone else. 5 billion internet connected social animals is the value, not the app that facebook built.

What do you feel is the "solution" ?

>I don't think they should be because I don't think billionaires should exist. But I do think the value they created was much bigger than the value Zuck created. They were better at creating value than capturing it.

How much do you think they should be worth and why? I have some ideas, however I think it just comes down to the fact that some things are more easily monetizable than others. I don't think that's necessarily a problem.

>That can only be explained through how the wealth distribution has changed between now and then.

How do you come to this conclusion? I feel there are more factors than any one person can point to for the reason why people are "worse off"

>The issue is that the wealthiest are capturing a larger percentage of income now than they did 60 years ago.

Is it income? I still fail to see how Bezos, Musk, Zuckerberg, Gates etc. Having an ownership in their respective billion dollar companies makes the average person worse off.

> I don't view our age as being more innovative than a time where we invented the atom bomb and went to the moon and other cool shit.

It depends on what you view as "innovative" - by this logic, I fail to see how going to the moon helped the average person. I can agree with the sentiment though.

>Jeff Bezos isn't more innovative than those guys, he is just having his workers piss in bottles to squeeze out every last cent.

I don't think Jeff Bezos is a billionaire because of this. Stuff like that certainly happens at other places, you just don't hear about it because its not as interesting. These aren't billion dollar companies by a long shot. Poor working conditions aren't exclusive to billion dollar companies. I'm not defending it though, that is terrible. I've worked in a warehouse and thankfully I never had anything like that happen but I did see some questionable things.

>Did not realize that Yang supported it, learn something new everyday. Would like to hear his reasoning beyond the short blurb on his website as he has always struck me as deep thinker.

I feel you. I really liked him. Still do I suppose, its just I do algotrading and I was shocked to see all that about "profitable algorithms" - I don't think he personally wrote that but I guess he has to be responsible for what is on his site. I will have to see if he's ever been asked about it directly.

A shocking amount of people seem to think they know how "wall street" works... I don't even know and would be silly to pretend but I do know that trying to eradicate "profitable algorithms" and imposing FTTs would be disastrous. That is what I'm worried about in regard to "going after billionaires". I'm not an economist though, so I can't pretend to know what will or will not happen. All I know is that the same principals when applied to "wallstreet" or trading in general always end in disaster and only end up hurting the "average person" indirectly.

I'm bias though, as I've personally worked on a few things that were only possible because it was funded by wealthy people with an idea. To me I hardly see a difference if their company is worth $100m or $1b. I suppose it affects how many projects they can realistically start... but eh.


New Amazon workers aren't the ones who made it a trillion-dollar company. The older ones were. By your standards, the only way Amazon could compensate them fairly is to pay workers in Amazon shares and force them to hold it.


> New Amazon workers aren't the ones who made it a trillion-dollar company. The older ones were. By your standards, the only way Amazon could compensate them fairly is to pay workers in Amazon shares and force them to hold it.

Something like mandatory equity contributions to the company pension fund would probably work.


Bezos is not a billionaire because he pays people less money than what he is able to capture from their work. He is a billionaire because he owns a lot of shares in Amazon, and Amazon is a trillion dollar company.

There are examples where a group of people came together and decided to share in the profit or loss of a venture, and worked on it as employees (REI is a popular US outdoor equipment company that was started this way).

Amazon seems to have chosen a path where instead of asking individual employees to take a loss or break even for 20 years, they paid their employees while the company absorbed those losses and scaled.

The "billionaire" bit here seems arbitrary. Bezos is a billionaire because he owns a lot of shares because he didn't have a lot of cofounders. If he had started Amazon with 20 different cofounders then he (probably) wouldn't be a billionaire. Either way, the concept of exploiting labor for profit doesn't impact his billionaire status.

I'd be open to having a separate discussion around what it means to "exploit" labor, but on this topic I think moving the conversation from the concept of billionaire founders to how the system oppresses those that fall below a certain income would be more productive.

I don't know why Paul funds or doesn't fund certain founders, but if I were Paul I would be funding those founders that I believe can start companies that will eventually have stock collectively worth a lot of money. From the stories I've read - most of the founders that Paul funded DO plan on splitting their profits amongst all their employees - purely by virtue of when he invests in a company, the founders usually were the only employees. If I was Paul my dream would be that a company started by a small group of initial founders would be able to get big without having to "exploit" (or hire) any people at all.


The expected monetary value of the average software engineer’s work working at Google is much higher than that of the same engineer working at a small company, launching the same product. The difference is the leverage provided by the structure that is Google - the audience, brand, machinery, etc. The software is important, but so is the massive built-in audience.

It is the company’s structure accounts for the majority of the value created by that engineer’s work. So, how is it exploitation to give them less than the total profit created?


> It is the company’s structure accounts for the majority of the value created by that engineer’s work.

Except that billionaire founders also persist in flattering themselves that their company "only hires the best". If that were true, FAANG salaries for ICs ought to be even higher than they are, and competition between them for employees would be cutthroat rather than collegial.

As it is, they are competing for employees as a group with the rest of the industry, more so than with each other, so the truth is a mixture: individual employees matter more than their compensation actually reflects, and the company the employee is embedded in matters a great deal too (enough so that we only ever see a randomly occurring concentration of high quality employees producing innovative products and services when that group is more-or-less the whole org: a startup. Inside a larger org, such groups only flourish deliberately).


> But what people are saying is that the narrative that billionaires built their wealth themselves is false

But it’s not. I can put shit into boxes in my yard and put them on a truck but that doesn’t mean I’m providing the same value as the Amazon worker. Labor has no value on its own. You have to do work that is useful for someone to generate value and identifying the useful work (i.e. connecting the participants) is a big part of that value.


> it’s basically impossible to accumulate that amount of wealth through work

Not at all. I have no doubt that Jeff Bezos, for example, works very hard. The difference is not whether or not a person works, but what they work on.

Another poster upthread (mightybyte) suggested viewing this in terms of leverage: how much is the impact of your work magnified? I think this is a very fruitful way of looking at it; see my post upthread in response.


“But what people are saying is that the narrative that billionaires built their wealth themselves is false and that they should be taxed heavily in recognition of the fact that they built their wealth off of the work of others.”

So are you saying that there should be a higher tax for a person who profits off the labor of someone else?

Surely the person who constructed the system (that gave opportunity to the other individual they’re profiting off of) added some benefit to the other individual as well, otherwise wouldn’t the other individual work for himself or elsewhere?

Or is the argument that there is always a moral cap on how much profit a person can make off someone else?


Say an engineer is working on Google’s ad platform. In an alternate universe, he is working at Bing, producing code of identical quality. The economic outcome of this identical unit of labor output is dramatically different.

That difference is attributed to the company, not the laborer. Now whether that is because of “monopolistic forces” or because the company is truly “better managed” is up for debate.

So just because your labor is worth $X to your employer doesn’t mean all of it can be attributed to you. It would be inaccurate to believe that they owe you exactly $X, and anything less would be exploitation.


> Paul would never fund a founder who wanted to divide all profits among employees.

Why not? He explains what YC is looking for in a founder, and I don't see "what will the founders do with the profits" mentioned at all.


Great post! Agree 100%


> you have to be able to capture the difference between the value of someone else’s work and what you pay them to do it

This is the textbook definition for how wealth is created, and it's exactly what's supposed to happen in every transaction in the marketplace.

You buy an apple for $1 and it brings you $1.10 in value. You have captured the difference between its value to you and its value to the seller, and the ten cents is wealth that didn't exist before.

This also works for the seller, who sold her apple for $1 even though it only cost her $0.95. She captures five cents of the wealth created by the transaction.

Wealth is created because things have contextual value. It's the same when we exchange our labor for money. They wanted our labor more than the money. We wanted the money more than the time. Win/win for both of us.


This ignores any effects of market power. Amazon is not bargaining with its workers in the way that you are bargaining with Alice for her apple - a lot of these workers have very few other options to sell their labor. And sitting at home and not working is a false choice in today's America. That inequality in pricing power helps maintain the gap between wages and marginal revenue production of labor - and as OP says, that gap at scale is what makes a billionaire.


OP's argument was that capturing value itself is bad. But I suspect you don't check to see if your apple sellers have plenty of other potential buyers before buying apples. If nobody else is buying, then the seller lowers the price until the market clears, and you get a bargain. Lucky you.


That's true, I generally don't care about the welfare of apple sellers, and I'll take a deal when I see one.

But, and I hate to stretch this analogy to its breaking point, it's more like the overwhelming majority of Americans are apple sellers (read: wage laborers) and they have no way to achieve basic human rights like food, shelter, and baseline medical care without selling their apples. And they can only sell to one buyer at a time as part of an apple contract (employment contract) and if that buyer decides to stop buying from them ("restructuring"), which the buyer may do at any time (right-to-work laws), our apple seller has to go looking for another buyer (job search) which can take months all while their savings dwindle...

So you can see why some people might think this is not the optimal way to structure a society. Or to just put the analogy in its coffin, they might see this situation as more complicated than just a few apple-buyers getting a bargain.


We are indeed far from the original argument that billionaires and creating value are bad. But I respect your right to petition the government to bring back housing projects and welfare cheese.


> and as OP says, that gap at scale is what makes a billionaire.

But that’s a dumb generalization. Microsoft wasn’t paying low wages and software people easily found jobs elsewhere but it still made Gates a billionaire.

Warren Buffet gave cash to companies he thought were undervalued and on hard times in exchange for ownership stakes. This worked out more frequently than not and made him wealthy without exploiting any labor (many of these companies paid/pay solid middle class wages).

The Google founders are billionaires and their company has nothing to do with paying for cheap labor and up selling it.

Exploiting labor prices isn’t a business model that pays well enough by itself. In other words, companies that produce billionaires have to be providing more than just labor at a higher price than they paid for it.


> The Google founders are billionaires and their company has nothing to do with paying for cheap labor and up selling it.

Google executives (possibly not the founders personally) colluded with management at competing employers to reduce employee mobility and negotiating power.

The cost of getting caught wasn't much compared to the salary increases they saved. So, yes, the labor wasn't 'cheap' but it also wasn't the fair market value.


I've heard it phrased that no one every sees a Ferrari drive by and wonders how many dishes they had to wash to get the cool car.


I don't disagree, but can you please not create accounts for every few comments you post? We ban accounts that do that. This is in the site guidelines: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.

You needn't use your real name, of course, but for HN to be a community, users need some identity for other users to relate to. Otherwise we may as well have no usernames and no community, and that would be a different kind of forum. https://hn.algolia.com/?sort=byDate&dateRange=all&type=comme...


Yes, sorry. I started browsing HN on a new device a few weeks ago and I made a new account because I didn't have access to my other system at the time.


Appreciated!


You could consider implementing a generic 'throwaway' account that anyone can use, since these are not expected to have continuity of discussion or identity. Or, this could be a flag on accounts or sessions.


How did you know? From the username?


Probably via the IP address used.


Implement the email spam solution that never was: set a nontrivial fee to create a (posting) account on hn. 10 bucks oughtta do the trick.


It's important to HN that anyone be able to participate. We pay a heavy price for that in spammers and trolls, but the benefit still exceeds the cost.


No, it's absolutely a strawman. The exploitation billionaires create isn't direct. The problem is that Billionaires amass this wealth while people beneath them struggle.

Jeff Bezos shouldn't be making 12-figure gains while his warehouse workers are on welfare. Those warehouse workers shouldn't be paying a higher tax rate than he does on their income.

That IS an unquestionably exploitive relationship between a CEO and his employees, even if he isn't personally being an exploitive monster he isn't doing anything about the systemic exploitation he lead the way in creating.

This is pretty much true of any billionaire, regardless of their personality or views.

The existence of billionaires is a economic luxury that should only be afforded once society as a whole has taken care of its people. The co-existence of billionaires and homelessness is an economic failure, especially when some billionaires possess more capital individually than the entire homeless population of this country.


And if, say, Jeff Bezos hired his warehouse workers as employees, paid them an inflation-adjusted minimum wage (eg about $25/hr), and offered real benefits, he and his company would still be making massive profits. That’s what makes it unethical and exploitative: They don’t actually need to be paid so little or treated so harshly for the company’s economics to work!


Henry Ford paid his workers shockingly high wages for the time, which enabled them to purchase the cars they built. A mass consumer economy ensued.

Given the state of consumer indebtedness now, I think our economy is actually underperforming because there is not enough demand due to low wages.

The problem with Fordism is that if you are a manager, there are strong incentives for your firm to defect from paying high wages. If you are the only firm doing this, the consumer economy still hums and you have larger margins. If all the firms do this however, consumers' spending power diminishes over time.

Once the tide has turned, defection becomes a matter of survival as high wage firms become uncompetitive.

Someone like Jeff Bezos has enough market power and technology to turn the tide again like Henry Ford. But he chooses not to.


> But he chooses not to.

i think, this is a key point

we are beholden to someone with great power and wealth to be more fair; those who are under them dont have any kind of vote in the matter and therefore have little power to ask for more (whatever that may be)...


If Amazon hired warehouse workers at $25/hr would it still be making massive profits?

Amazon has 1.3M employees in the US and $11B in profit globally.

If you increase the wages at the bottom that pushes everyone up (why would a manager of the warehouse workers make less than the people they manage?).

So if you divide up that $11B in global profit across all 1.3M US workers, you get $8,700 per worker or maybe $500 extra per month after tax. A much appreciated boost by the folks at the bottom, but now global profit is $0.

I’m certainly not arguing against paying warehouse workers more. I’m just saying the “billions in profit” don’t go that far in a company the size of Amazon.


Give the warehouse workers a raise, cut the salaries of the managers and techs making six figures. Problem solved.


What if the warehouse workers outnumber the tech and managers 100:1? With >1 million employees, that ratio is likely pretty steep, in which case, even if all managers and tech workers were paid zero, it still wouldn’t move the needle for everyone else.


[flagged]


Because it's spoken like someone who has never dealt with human resources inside a company. The people making more money have more options - they'll just leave Amazon.

Each role has it's own supply and demand. You can arbitrarily start paying less for a role and not expect there to be a negative impact.


You (and others, evidently) don’t pick up on the tongue in cheek nature of the comment. We all know we can simply raise pay at the bottom without needing to cut (or inflate) anyone else’s pay. They are similarly absurd propositions.


They're paid in victory, which costs nothing and which you can't eat. That is fundamental to operating something like Amazon, which is designed to avoid switching into the 'rake in money' stage of capitalism as long as possible, in order to compete more harshly with other organizations that DO try to rake in money as soon as they can.

Amazon understands that in the context of organizations it stands to benefit from being seen as the meanest competitor, and that it can get public investment at scale by making this case. The argument isn't that it will hand more money to investors directly, it's that it will attack other things one can invest in, and make those things lose, and therefore it's the safe bet.

In so doing, the adoption of a crazy, aggressive, Spartan attitude among all its workers and management is beneficial, because the easiest way to convince the world you're a psycho axe murderer of a capitalist is to actually be one. In other words, 'making massive profits' isn't the end goal: 'killing other companies' is. And so, the workers do need to be paid that little and treated that harshly because every worker must be first a warrior, willing and able to trade away their health and well-being for the betterment of the company, and this goes all the way to Bezos, whom I'm convinced is going to live a shorter life than a billionaire might otherwise expect, from stress related damage. It's that or go soft and see his company go soft, and I think if he could do that there wouldn't be an Amazon as we know it: people will not follow a leader who doesn't at least pretend to represent what he is leading people towards, and Bezos is leading Amazonians to be warriors and throw themselves into the wood-chipper in order to destroy all competition.

They're paid more than they would be at easier, more civilized jobs. Part of the compensation is this emotional compensation intimately tied up in the American attitude, the cost-less, intangible compensation of knowing you are on the winning team. That is inherent to what Amazon is.


Lets assume it is not a strawman, what empirical evidence suggests that this is not the case?

I mean, as an example, billionaires have access to top notch lawyers that lower their tax bill, look at Trump’s recent tax filings for example. Can you reasonably argue that they are not unfairly taking advantage of society, and by extension its people?

What about government lobbying etc. I mean the list goes on.

Personally I think PG just attacks the weakest form of the argument against his view. He obviously benefits from billionaires being created as he is an investor. Getting a large payout is literally the purpose of his job.


I disagree.

PG's statement:

> The second is about something politicians sometimes say — that the only way to become a billionaire is by exploiting people — and why this is mistaken.

He is framing it so he is debunking an absurd claim: that the only way (no other ways are possible) to become a billionaire is by exploiting people.

This is distinctly different from whether "exploiting people" (opinions vary on what this means) is the most common way it is actually done.

It's a shame we don't have a political party that would end this rhetorical he said / she said approach we take to this topic, and instead adapt a thorough data focused approach to this problem, accurately illustrating the situation in a way that the common man could understand. It would be nice to know with some level of accuracy how "bad" the problem really is, as it is we have little to go on other than our intuitions and propaganda from both sides.


Data isn't sexy, data doesn't sell. The "common man" neither cares about real numbers nor has the education and ability to interpret them, even in very simplified graphical form. Look at the percentage of people who can answer extremely basic questions about charts and be horrified: https://www.unz.com/akarlin/stupid-people/


So far, but has anyone ever given them something worth taking seriously? How wide of a variety of approaches have we tried?

Ross Perot did all right, and he was a total amateur. If a group of people actually put some serious though and effort into it, who knows what might be possible.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ross_Perot#1992_presidential_c...

In the 1992 election, he received 18.9% of the popular vote, about 19,741,065 votes, but no electoral college votes, making him the most successful third-party presidential candidate in terms of the popular vote since Theodore Roosevelt in the 1912 election.[46] Unlike Perot, however, other third-party candidates since Roosevelt won multiple electoral college votes: Robert La Follette in 1924, Strom Thurmond in 1948, and George Wallace in 1968. Compared with Thurmond and Wallace, who polled very strongly in a small number of states, Perot's vote was more evenly spread across the country. Perot managed to finish second in two states: In Maine, Perot received 30.44% of the vote to Bush's 30.39% (Clinton won with 38.77%); in Utah, Perot received 27.34% of the vote to Clinton's 24.65% (Bush won with 43.36%). Although Perot did not win a state, he received a plurality of votes in some counties.[47][48] His popular vote total is still by far the most ever garnered for a third-party candidate, almost double the previous record set by Wallace in 1968.

A detailed analysis of voting demographics revealed that Perot's support drew heavily from across the political spectrum, with 20% of his votes coming from self-described liberals, 27% from self-described conservatives, and 53% coming from self-described moderates. Economically, however, the majority of Perot voters (57%) were middle class, earning between $15,000 and $49,000 annually, with the bulk of the remainder drawing from the upper-middle class (29% earning more than $50,000 annually).[49] Exit polls also showed that 38% of Perot voters would have otherwise voted for Bush, and 38% would have voted for Clinton.[50] Though there were widespread claims that Perot acted as a "spoiler," post-election analysis suggested that his presence in the race likely did not affect the outcome.[51]


>> However he does pay less taxes than his secretary

No, he does not. He claims he paid $1,850,000 in federal taxes in 2015, do you think his secretary earned that much, let alone paid that much in taxes?

In addition:

“In 2019, Berkshire sent $3.6 billion to the U.S. Treasury to pay its current income tax,” Buffett said in his annual letter to shareholders. “The U.S. government collected $243 billion from corporate income tax payments during the same period. From these statistics, you can take pride that your company delivered 1.5% of the federal income taxes paid by all of corporate America.”

>> What's the point of being the wealthiest nation ever on paper, if there's terrible schools, high infant mortality, and lead in the drinking pipes?

A higher percentage of people graduate from college today than graduated from high school a hundred years ago, infant mortality is 6 per 1000 today vs. 100 per 1000 a hundred years ago, and blood lead levels in children have been reduced so much that it is claimed to be largely responsible for the drop in crime rates since the 1980s.

The point of getting wealthy is that it gives you resources to deal with your problems.


>> However he does pay less taxes than his secretary

> No, he does not. He claims he paid $1,850,000 in federal taxes in 2015, do you think his secretary earned that much, let alone paid that much in taxes?

I think it was clear that they meant as a fraction of income, not as an absolute value.


If that was the intention [0], it's helpful in discussions to actually say that rather than something quite different.

[0] - I agree it most likely was; the most likely other option being comically misinformed.


The whole Buffett vs his secretary tax thing is just as misunderstood as the 1992 hot coffee lawsuit against McDonald's, which at the time was considered to be frivolous and a sign that the legal system in the US is broken. I recommend reading the actual facts behind this case [1] - it will make you appreciate our legal system.

Similarly, the Buffett story can be traced back to an interview he gave in 2007 where he shared that his tax rate was 17.7%, whereas the average tax rate of the employees in his office was 32.9% [2]. On the surface, this is shocking and will make you want to rebel against the system. But a closer look reveals that the bulk of Buffett's income comes from dividends and long-term capital gains, which are taxed at a much lower rate than ordinary income. We might argue about the specific tax rate numbers, but fundamentally there are good reasons for those tax rates not to be identical [3], and as such Buffett paying a lower tax rate should not be causing any outrage (don't confuse this with my view of the overall tax code, I am just focusing on the specific example above).

By the way, you may wonder why Buffett does what he does, including giving the interview I referenced above and going through the trouble of collecting the tax rate of his employees, sharing his own tax rate, etc. He's coming across as being generous for voicing his support for a higher income tax rate for the wealthy (aka, the Buffett rule). But in reality he's just deflecting from other potential sources of taxes, such as taxing people on wealth vs on income (which someone in his wealth bracket can easily live without). This scheme becomes even more obvious when you observe his attacks on Elizabeth Warren [4] (who is pro-wealth tax), while being more "aligned" with AOC [5].

[1] https://www.caoc.org/?pg=facts [2] https://www.fool.com/taxes/2020/09/25/why-does-billionaire-w... [3] https://taxfoundation.org/why-capital-gains-are-taxed-lower-... [4] https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/03/02/warren_bu... [5] https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/04/ocasio-cortez-and-warren-buf...


>> the average tax rate of the employees in his office was 32.9%

In 2007, 33% didn't kick in until around $200K (married filing jointly) so not bad pay for Omaha.

>> But in reality he's just deflecting from other potential sources of taxes, such as taxing people on wealth vs on income (which someone in his wealth bracket can easily live without).

Given that he has pledged to give away 99% of his wealth either while he is still alive or when he dies, why do you think he is doing that?


> Given that he has pledged to give away 99% of his wealth either while he is still alive or when he dies, why do you think he is doing that?

Wealthy people wanting to polish their legacy while still directing the use of their wealth from beyond the grave by establishing endowments and non-profit foundations etc. isn't really a new phenomenon, though there is much less emphasis on monumental architecture these days.

I'm not sure if anyone has studied whether such foundations and endowments are particularly efficient allocations of those resources compared to the government (either is in principle less efficient than the market, but the government steps in where society in general judges that markets have failed, and non-profits generally step in where donors, specifically, perceive the government has failed as well, but I'm unsure whether that implies more or less relative efficiency in allocation).


> No, he does not.

A quick googling suggest that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary.


Which is a very different claim.


It still feels equally outrageous to me.


OK let me get this straight:

Scenario one: Warren Buffet's secretary (making up some numbers here) makes $50K a year, twice the average salary for a secretary, and pays around 8K income tax, for an effective tax rate of 16%, And Warren Buffet pays $7000 in taxes.

Scenario two: Warren Buffet's secretary (making up some numbers here) makes $50K a year, twice the average salary for a secretary, and pays around 8K income tax, for an effective tax rate of 16%, And Warren Buffet pays $1,850,000 in taxes.

Those two are equally outrageous to you?


...you can take pride that your company delivered 1.5% of the federal income taxes paid by all of corporate America.

IME (including writing the actual SQL queries against a corporate billing system that calculated ideal writeoff amounts every year), corporations evade so many taxes that this amounts to an empty boast. 1.5% of bupkis is bupkis. Supporting the state through income taxes is inherently foolish, and moreover we do it in the most foolish way one could imagine.


Warren Buffet pays a smaller percentage of his annual income towards taxes than his secretary. Income tax brackets were created to not make it a regressive tax, but it very clearly is that today. 20% of your income is a lot more valuable to you when you make $50K vs $50M a year.


> the only way to become a billionaire is by exploiting people

I don't if it is the only way to become a billionaire. But the bigger problem is every billionaire is exploiting people.

Imagine you are one of the wealthiest guys in the world. You can either:

- Hire the best financial guys to take care of your equities (although they are the best they look cheap to you).

- Hold a share of the equity of every business you can find in the world.

Either way, if the world is growing, you earn money by lying on the bed all day long. And then you can use the money exchange a large amount of people's labor for your own pleasure, instead of building costly infrastructures for your country for very small returns.

Even if the world is going through a recession, other people would more desperate than you - you would lose part of your money, but people's life would crash, small companies would go broke, most of the entities have to do sub-optimal choices, and you don't have to. Then you can do the purchase and hold even more equities of the world.

In a word, holding extreme large number of equities is exploiting people because they can barely do nothing and enjoy people's labor without any risks.


It's not a strawman insofar as there are people who literally say exactly that, and those are the people he's addressing. I agree there are more reasonable discussions to be had about how to distribute wealth for the greatest benefit to society but there are people who believe that if we just tax Jeff Bezos more then the Water Authority in Flint, MI will somehow become more competent.


> It's not a strawman insofar as there are people who literally say exactly that

People oppose billionaires paying low taxes, and the related lack of public investment in bedrock services and infrastructure they need. When a rural area has no hospital, or a city has crumbling roads and transit, yes, people resent enormously wealthy people for whom those are not concerns. People do not, however, oppose their success at building companies that make money.

PG is picking a fight with the least sophisticated form of the anti-billionaire argument (i.e. "billionaires suck"), which is beneath him. I get that it's easier to do that than than argue over how the structural issues that allow massive wealth accumulation also undermine the foundations that markets and societies are built on, but it's really beneath PG to choose such a trite argument to oppose.

> if we just tax Jeff Bezos more then the Water Authority in Flint, MI will somehow become more competent.

That, however, is a strawman. Nobody suggests that at all. People who support more progressive taxation point to things like the New Deal and the strong progressive taxation coupled with public investment in infrastructure and education that propelled the United States forward.


> That, however, is a strawman. Nobody suggests that at all. People who support more progressive taxation point to things like the New Deal and the strong progressive taxation coupled with public investment in infrastructure and education that propelled the United States forward.

You're making that exact argument in fancier words. "strong progressive taxation coupled with public investment in infrastructure" implies that the problem is not enough money. So take more money from people who have lots of money and let the government spend it.

The US spends more per-pupil on education than almost every other country [1], with worse outcomes in most cases. The corrosion inhibitors that would have prevented the Flint water crisis cost $140 per day. That's not a misplaced decimal point. That's One Hundred and Forty dollars. Do we need to revamp the entire US tax system to come up with a 140 bucks? No. The money is there, what's needed is some competence in how it's applied.

[1] https://www.manhattan-institute.org/issues-2020-us-public-sc...


Maybe the government has enough money, maybe it doesn't. It's the structural disparity that Jeff Bezos' wealth represents that is the problem. His wealth also gives him disproportionate power to shape the incentives of the government, the economy, and the media narrative. Taxation is the proper remedy for breaking this power. We won't know what's possible until we stop letting barons write the laws.


The general structure is that people are allowed to own the things they make. If you start a company, it belongs to you. Your company might become very valuable and mine might not, which might create some disparity.

There are other systems, like where everybody owns everything, but historically when you allow it so one person can own something that someone else has to create it doesn't work out very well. People don't have any incentive to make things if they can just own things that other people make.


The general structure is that all businesses rely on the government to maintain the courts and enforce contracts, and they are all built upon public commons. Taxation is not theft, pay your share.

Entrepreneurialism is at an all-time low in this low-tax, finance-happy environment, so I don't see how you can conclude that low taxes are good for creativity. It seems like it's been pretty good for concentration - low taxes means more money for acquisitions and buybacks.


I never said taxation was theft or that taxes shouldn't exist. I said that private ownership of property was good for creativity, this is independent of taxation. You can pay taxes and still own things. Indeed, we do.

You seem to be proposing that taxation is an unalloyed good and that more taxation is always better - that all problems are the result of insufficient taxation. Do you have any actual plan for how to spend all this money you propose to collect in taxes, or do you just want to throw more money at the people who are currently doing a bad job with the money they already have?


That seems like a straw man of my position. Suggesting that we tax the wealth of the richest person in the country is not a radical idea, nor is it equivalent to "taxation is an unalloyed good". Likewise, nothing I said conflicts with the idea that private ownership of property is good, generally. Just that inequality is bad, and taxation is a primary way to address it. If you don't think taxation is theft, then it's just negotiating the number, and I don't understand what point you are trying to make other than "government bad".

> Do you have any actual plan for how to spend all this money you propose to collect in taxes, or do you just want to throw more money at the people who are currently doing a bad job with the money they already have?

Sure, but I'm not running for office, because "small government conservatives" and their presumptions make it absolutely miserable for anyone who would do a good job of it. You can burn the money in a furnace for all I care, as long as the ratio between the richest and poorest goes down substantially.


> You can burn the money in a furnace for all I care, as long as the ratio between the richest and poorest goes down substantially.

How does making everyone worse off make things better? For example, inequality skyrocketed in China after they liberalized their economy [0]. Why would it be better for everyone to be equally miserable and starving? I really don't understand this mentality.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_economic_reform


Why would burning some marginal percentage of the very wealthiest individuals' money make everyone worse off? Seems like it would just put a slight damper on the inflation rate of country estates and enormous yachts.

(Heck, for all intents and purposes given the high marginal tax rates in many countries and the enormous amounts of waste that those governments are guilty of we're already doing just that, and the last 80ish years of human history have been pretty darn good!)


Taxation to pay 1. “your fair share of the public commons”, which all big businesses benefit from, is very different from 2. taxation to reduce poverty, which is also different from 3. taxation to eliminate rich people.

Am I wrong in sensing that you believe in a bit of #3?


> Taxation is the proper remedy for breaking this power.

No, it's one possible remedy, and historically it doesn't appear to have worked very well. The fundamental problem with taxation is that governments are even worse than individual billionaires like Jeff Bezos at choosing what to do with large amounts of money.

Another possible remedy is to reduce the power of governments, so there is less value to be captured by influencing them. IIRC pg recommended this fix in one of his (fairly early) essays.

> We won't know what's possible until we stop letting barons write the laws.

If you think taxation stops this from happening, I have some sad news for you.


> The fundamental problem with taxation is that governments are even worse than individual billionaires like Jeff Bezos at choosing what to do with large amounts of money.

Citation needed. When Governments had lots of revenue, they assist the population with public services, which tend to benefit the lowest stratum of society the most. But the cumulative effect is to raise the quality of life of society as a whole. There is little evidence that billionaires have that kind of effect on society as a whole (outside of a few notable exceptions like Gates).

Having a billionaire class that has so much resources that they can influence public policy and Government... is an even worse outcome, and could be considered the only reason to dismantle this class. The Government is elected by the people (in a democracy) and having mini-kings is absolutely detrimental to the health of our democracy.


> Citation needed.

How Effective is Government Welfare Compared to Private Charity? [0]

“[Government] income redistribution agencies are estimated to absorb about two-thirds of each dollar budgeted to them in overhead costs, and in some cases as much as three-quarters of each dollar. Using government data, Robert L. Woodson (1989, p. 63) calculated that, on average, 70 cents of each dollar budgeted for government assistance goes not to the poor, but to the members of the welfare bureaucracy and others serving the poor. Michael Tanner (1996, p. 136 n. 18) cites regional studies supporting this 70/30 split.

“In contrast, administrative and other operating costs in private charities absorb, on average, only one-third or less of each dollar donated, leaving the other two-thirds (or more) to be delivered to recipients. Charity Navigator, www.charitynavigator.org the newest of several private sector organizations that rate charities by various criteria and supply that information to the public on their web sites, found that, as of 2004, 70 percent of charities they rated spent at least 75 percent of their budgets on the programs and services they exist to provide, and 90 percent spent at least 65 percent. The median administrative expense among all charities in their sample was only 10.3 percent.”

Later on Edwards adds: “In fact, the average cost of private charity generally is almost certainly lower than the one-quarter to one-third estimated by Charity Navigator and other private sector charity rating services…” and tells why.

The bottom line: Government spends about 70% of tax dollars to get 30% of tax dollars to the poor. The private sector does the opposite, spending about 30% or less to get 70% of aid to the poor.

[0] https://www.theadvocates.org/2013/06/effective-government-we...


> Citation needed. When Governments had lots of revenue, they assist the population with public services, which tend to benefit the lowest stratum of society the most. But the cumulative effect is to raise the quality of life of society as a whole.

Citation needed.


> > Citation needed. When Governments had lots of revenue, they assist the population with public services, which tend to benefit the lowest stratum of society the most. But the cumulative effect is to raise the quality of life of society as a whole.

> Citation needed.

That's actually fairly uncontroversial. Small government fetishists insist that left unfettered the flourishing market and voluntary charity would more than make up the resulting gap, but any evidence to the contrary is generally taken as proof that we just haven't lowered taxes and deregulated enough.

The defense of Communism that it hasn't actually been tried for real yet doesn't make any more sense when applied in turn to laissez faire capitalism.

On the other hand, we have quite a bit of data about the broad middle ground, and it is pretty clear that the current settings for the US economy are that taxes are currently too low and not progressive enough (how much is a matter of some debate), and that we probably need to revert to Reagan-era levels if only to be able to afford to refresh and replace crumbling public infrastructure that has been a drag on the economy for a while (because putting off maintenance doesn't save money in the long run) and step up enforcement of existing regulations.


> Small government fetishists insist that left unfettered the flourishing market and voluntary charity would more than make up the resulting gap

I'm not making this claim. I'm making the claim that the government does not actually provide all the benefits you are assuming it does, so the "gap" you speak of, if it exists at all, is much smaller than you think it is.

I think most people simply aren't aware of how much inefficiency there is in government services or how much of their tax money does not actually go to benefit the people they think the government is helping.

If all we expected the government to do was to provide basic national defense (not aggressive foreign wars, just keep the US itself from being attacked), enforce basic common sense regulations (laws against obvious crimes like murder and regulations against obvious bad things like dumping toxic waste in rivers), and maintain basic public infrastructure (roads, bridges, public buildings, basic utilities, national parks), we would not have nearly as much inefficiency. The problem is that we expect the government to do much, much, much more than that, and the government does all those other things so inefficiently that, on net, it would be better if we left them to private entities.


I'd like to point out that regulations against dumping toxic waste into rivers (or enforcement thereof) is exactly the sort of government service that is most often targeted by the folks who are pushing for deregulation.

Anyway, feel free to advocate for greater efficiency in government, by whatever means, including public-private partnerships or full-on privatization. More discussion of what services are needed by society and how best to provide them is generally a good thing.


>Maybe the government has enough money, maybe it doesn't.

This is exactly the problem I have with this "taxing the wealthy will fix it" arguments.

What happens if it is the latter? What happens if taxing the rich doesn't fix it and actually makes things worse?

>His wealth also gives him disproportionate power to shape the incentives of the government, the economy, and the media narrative.

Disproportionate to what?

>Taxation is the proper remedy for breaking this power.

Why?

>We won't know what's possible until we stop letting barons write the laws.

Again, what if "what's possible" is worse?

Its not some "what if" either, its literally happened.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_financial_transaction_...

Same exact line of thinking too. They figured if they taxed "the rich" they would get more money. To this day they have probably lost untold amounts because it essentially killed their markets. You would have to do some modeling but all else holding true, they've missed out on decades capital gains taxes that just don't exist anymore because of that FTT.


> What happens if taxing the rich doesn't fix it and actually makes things worse?

How is it going to be worse if Jeff Bezos is worth $50,000,000,000 instead of $180,000,000,000? I don't get it - America doesn't have a Communist party, what are you picturing happening here?

> Disproportionate to what?

Me. If he wants a policy to change, he has lobbyists and the Washington Post. If I want to change a policy I have to spend my whole life building a coalition. That's unacceptable for a democracy or a fair capitalist economy.

Lots of "what if" and narrow examples here, but we've tried this experiment before, in this country. It worked really well! Economic prosperity, a broad middle class — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal. We've also seen some really gruesome examples of what happens when concentrated wealth is allowed to run amok for too long — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slavery_in_the_United_States, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Civil_War, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_I.

Keep nitpicking individual policies, you are missing the bigger picture.


> How is it going to be worse if Jeff Bezos is worth $50,000,000,000 instead of $180,000,000,000?

Hmm, how would it be if Amazon stock dropped in price by 73%? Actually, I think that would be pretty bad. Ironically, least of all for Jeff Bezos. How good would it be for you if your 401k dropped by that much?

Or maybe you're thinking we could just confiscate the stock, or force him to sell it. Sell it to whom? Other billionaires? And do you think this wouldn't have an effect on the stock prices (i.e. people's retirement funds) and availability of capital (i.e. money to pay people's salaries)?


I'd be fine, I'm not that rich. I'm also not that heavily invested in Amazon, so I'd be even more fine.

Again, how will things be worse if Jeff Bezos was worth $50,000,000,000 instead of $180,000,000,000? That's what was supposed - that it would make things worse if we made him pay a fair rate to the American people for helping maintain his wealth.


Jeff Bezos does not exist in a vacuum. There is no world in which you reduce Bezos' net worth by that much without affecting the rest of the economy. I already mentioned a couple possible effects. I'm sure there are many others including ones that nobody will think of until after they happen.

I also don't see how you talk about fair while proposing to enact a special tax to target one specific individual. That seems more like a personal vendetta than an economic policy.


It's strange you won't answer the question. I haven't prescribed what would happen to the money, simply that the rich need to take a haircut to make things more even. If you also pursue a more robust, less concentrated economy more generally, you could certainly invest the money in entrepreneurship, small farms, improved IT infrastructure, etc., etc. That would do more good for the economy than letting Jeff launch it into space. Again, we've done this kind of thing before, and the billionaires and their defenders ho-hummed the same tune, and all that happened was the emergence of the middle class and fairly broad economic prosperity. We've also see what happens when we let the concentration of wealth continue.

> That seems more like a personal vendetta than an economic policy.

Won't somebody please think of the poor billionaire! I'm using him as an example, because he's first on the list, but feel free to substitute whatever name or array of names you want if it makes it more palatable for you. FWIW, there is historical precedent for passing a tax law targeting the single richest person in the country (John D. Rockerfeller at the time).


> I haven't prescribed what would happen to the money, simply that the rich need to take a haircut to make things more even

Ah, we've reached the crux of the problem. You are not concerned with making things good only with making them even. This is just crab mentality[1]. Someone else has more than you, so you need to pull them down. Or perhaps you've conflated the two and think that if things are even, they will necessarily be good, or at least better than they are when they're uneven. Let me assure you, it is entirely possible for things to become more even and also have everyone be worse off than they were before.

> If you also pursue a more robust, less concentrated economy more generally, you could certainly invest the money in entrepreneurship, small farms, improved IT infrastructure, etc., etc.

Sure, we can invest in those things. We can also pursue policies (like antitrust enforcement) that would naturally result in less inequality without distorting the market by confiscating and destroying wealth when it reaches some arbitrary number.

> Won't somebody please think of the poor billionaire!

I stated early on that Bezos and other billionaires would be the people least hurt by what you're proposing. They're not who I'm concerned about. Bezos doesn't have $180,000,000,000 or however much he's currently worth. He has shares representing about 13% of Amazon. Now they're worth that much. Ten years ago they were worth a lot less. 20 years ago they were practically worthless. It's the same shares. The market just collectively decided they're worth a lot more now. He didn't take anything from you, do you see?

It's not clear when you're proposing that his shares should only be worth $50B instead of $180B whether that you mean you want to take away a portion of them, or just limit how much they can be worth, or what. Generally stocks are priced based on how much money investors think the company will make in the future. In the aggregate, the price of the stock market overall is our belief in how well the economy will do in the future. When you propose that the value of this should be limited, you're proposing that the economy - everyone - should be collectively poorer in the future. This does happen sometimes, we call it recessions, depressions, etc. It generally does not bode well for the poorest people (billionaires are usually fine though).

But hey, who cares if we're all poor right? As long as nobody has any more than anybody else it must necessarily be good.

> Again, we've done this kind of thing before, and the billionaires and their defenders ho-hummed the same tune, and all that happened was the emergence of the middle class and fairly broad economic prosperity.

It's true the New Deal happened and then a strong middle class emerged some years later, that doesn't mean one caused the other. There was a little thing called World War II as well, and the rest of the productive capacity of the industrial world being destroyed with only America left may have contributed to the abundance of high-paying manufacturing jobs, just a little.

> FWIW, there is historical precedent for passing a tax law targeting the single richest person in the country (John D. Rockerfeller at the time).

Yeah, there's a historical precedent for burning witches at the stake too, that doesn't mean it's a good thing.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crab_mentality


> Ah, we've reached the crux of the problem. You are not concerned with making things good only with making them even. This is just crab mentality[1]. Someone else has more than you, so you need to pull them down. Or perhaps you've conflated the two and think that if things are even, they will necessarily be good, or at least better than they are when they're uneven. Let me assure you, it is entirely possible for things to become more even and also have everyone be worse off than they were before.

That's another assumption, I'm concerned about both. You still haven't answered the question of what is going to be harmed by reducing the wealth of every billionaire by 73%. I see you have concerns about government ineptly wasting the money, but even if they did, it's not clear how that would be materially worse for the average American. The worst way the government could spend that money would be to hand it back to the billionaires, which would put us back in the current situation. I'm open to an alternative, but I don't want assurances. I want historical examples, preferably ones that occur in the United States. Raising the specter of Communism is useless demagoguery, since there is no serious constituency for it.

> Sure, we can invest in those things. We can also pursue policies (like antitrust enforcement) that would naturally result in less inequality without distorting the market by confiscating and destroying wealth when it reaches some arbitrary number.

War anti-trust enforcement! You have to do both though. You don't have to destroy wealth, you can also redistribute it in various ways. Even George W. Bush was a fan of the ole' stimulus check. I also hear the people would really like a public healthcare option - investing in that might spur some economic growth.

> It's true the New Deal happened and then a strong middle class emerged some years later, that doesn't mean one caused the other. There was a little thing called World War II as well, and the rest of the productive capacity of the industrial world being destroyed with only America left may have contributed to the abundance of high-paying manufacturing jobs, just a little.

Well, we tried doing it the way the laissez-faire way after Europe destroyed it's labor capacity in WW1, and it resulted in the Great Depression. We tried the New Deal, fought a Europe-destroying war, followed by more Keynesian policy, and it resulted in prosperity (including the areas rebuilt under the Marshall Plan). I'm just some guy, but I'm going to go with my gut and say we should do the thing that worked, over the economic ideology that has failed the average American every time it has been trotted out.

> Yeah, there's a historical precedent for burning witches at the stake too, that doesn't mean it's a good thing.

Now you are just being hysterical. Forcing Jeff Bezos to live on a mere $50,000,000,000 is hardly burning him at the stake.


> That's another assumption, I'm concerned about both.

Not an assumption at all. From your response to my other comment: "You can burn the money in a furnace for all I care, as long as the ratio between the richest and poorest goes down substantially." I'm really trying, and I can't find any other way to interpret that than your primary, if not only concern, is just making rich people poorer.

> You still haven't answered the question of what is going to be harmed by reducing the wealth of every billionaire by 73%.

You still haven't explained exactly how you would make this happen. Forced stock sales? Government mandated price caps on stocks? What? Is Bezos supposed to write a check for $130B? You realize it's not sitting in cash in a bank account, right?

But more importantly, you are the one proposing a radical change to the status quo. The onus is on you to prove, not only that the change is not harmful (not at all apparent from historical evidence) but that it will provide some benefit that will outweigh the cost to implement it. I mean a benefit besides "It makes me feel bad when people are richer than me, and I'll get to enjoy some schadenfreude if they get knocked down a peg".

> We tried the New Deal, fought a Europe-destroying war, followed by more Keynesian policy, and it resulted in prosperity (including the areas rebuilt under the Marshall Plan). I'm just some guy, but I'm going to go with my gut and say we should do the thing that worked, over the economic ideology that has failed the average American every time it has been trotted out.

What you are proposing is not the New Deal, nor the Marshall Plan, nor any economic policy that has been tried in the US before. The New Deal did not involve confiscating 73% of the wealth of billionaires (or the inflation-adjusted equivalent). It did not involve taxing unrealized gains on stocks. The US has never had a wealth tax before. Most countries that have had one ended up repealing it because it's expensive to enforce compared to the amount of revenue it brings in and wealthy people, unsurprisingly, are quite capable of moving to another country that doesn't have a wealth tax.


I was exaggerating to make a point on a different comment you made about "government bad". I forgot I was on the internet for a second and couldn't use rhetoric. Rest assured, if you want to take the money from Bezos and invest it in Medicare for All and expanding fiber internet to rural Appalachia, I am 110% onboard.

> You still haven't explained exactly how you would make this happen. Forced stock sales? Government mandated price caps on stocks? What? Is Bezos supposed to write a check for $130B? You realize it's not sitting in cash in a bank account, right?

Assume that Congress can edit a database of every citizens' net worth by legislative fiat. Answer the question about how lessening economic inequality is going to negatively impact the average American.

> But more importantly, you are the one proposing a radical change to the status quo. The onus is on you to prove, not only that the change is not harmful (not at all apparent from historical evidence) but that it will provide some benefit that will outweigh the cost to implement it. I mean a benefit besides "It makes me feel bad when people are richer than me, and I'll get to enjoy some schadenfreude if they get knocked down a peg".

Disagree. I'm proposing a return to a previous status quo that was more broadly equitable. The onus was on the neoliberals to prove the changes they were making in the 80s and 90s weren't harmful. Turns out they were. Again, you are reducing my argument down to my feelings, but I don't personally give a fuck if Jeff Bezos is a ba-zillionaire, so it's not really hitting home - I'll be fine either way. I just think it's bad for society generally when a few jerks with money get to have private space programs in a country with millions in poverty and homeless. I'm not a huge fan of bloody prole revolutions or fascist coups, personally. That's just me.

> What you are proposing is not the New Deal, nor the Marshall Plan, nor any economic policy that has been tried in the US before. The New Deal did not involve confiscating 73% of the wealth of billionaires (or the inflation-adjusted equivalent). It did not involve taxing unrealized gains on stocks. The US has never had a wealth tax before. Most countries that have had one ended up repealing it because it's expensive to enforce compared to the amount of revenue it brings in and wealthy people, unsurprisingly, are quite capable of moving to another country that doesn't have a wealth tax.

Again, I'm not proposing any specific remedy, so you are assigning an argument I haven't made. I'm totally fine with re-appropriating the money, but you seem to really hate the idea of giving the government having any ability to direct funds. I'm diagnosing the problem, and asking what you think would be the negative impact if we simply took away 73% of the wealth each billionaire holds, which you won't answer, because you know the answer is "nothing bad". Many countries aren't the United States. If the billionaires want to try offshoring their money and renouncing their citizenship, I'll trust the (ideally, re-empowered) Treasury and the State of New York to get our money.


> Assume that Congress can edit a database of every citizens' net worth by legislative fiat. Answer the question about how lessening economic inequality is going to negatively impact the average American.

> I'm diagnosing the problem, and asking what you think would be the negative impact if we simply took away 73% of the wealth each billionaire holds, which you won't answer, because you know the answer is "nothing bad".

Ok, in a hypothetical fantasy land where the government has a magic database and they can manually edit anyone's net worth at will and it is further specifically stipulated that this causes nothing bad to happen, then yes, I agree nothing bad happens in that scenario.

Back in the real world, such a thing doesn't exist. So if you want to talk about real things that could actually impact the net worth of billionaires you have to consider what other secondary effects they might have. Here's one: stock market crashes. Billionaires lost a lot of wealth in 2008. In your opinion, was this a generally positive event for the rest of the country or not? Bezos's net worth could easily drop by 73% on Monday without any government intervention at all, do you think that would help anyone?

To the extent that governments do have the ability to manipulate people's net worth via printing money, this has a long history of disastrous consequences like the Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe, etc. In your hypothetical world where the value of anything can be changed at a whim by a bureaucrat, how would anyone even conduct any business at all? How am I supposed to sell you a bag of potatoes for $5 if tomorrow the government might decide it's "more fair" if my $5 is $0 instead?

> Disagree. I'm proposing a return to a previous status quo that was more broadly equitable.

Dude, literally one paragraph ago you're talking about a magic database that can edit anyone's net worth at will. That is not a status quo that has ever existed anywhere in human history.

Are there possible scenarios in which billionaires have less money and everyone else has more money and everyone is happier and healthier and better off? Sure. Is a wealth tax (the closest thing to a policy that you've mentioned) a path to get to any of them? I think probably not. Is a legislative fiat where the government just flat out declares that someone has less money a realistic thing that could happen that wouldn't be a tremendous overreach and huge magnet for corruption and abuse? I think definitely not.

If you want to theorize about potential policies and what their impacts might be, then cool, I'd love to brainstorm about what things might happen. If you just want to fantasize about "Like..what if rich people had like...less money...and we had like...more?" I mean, I'm not sure where to actually go with that.


> Back in the real world, such a thing doesn't exist. So if you want to talk about real things that could actually impact the net worth of billionaires you have to consider what other secondary effects they might have. Here's one: stock market crashes. Billionaires lost a lot of wealth in 2008. In your opinion, was this a generally positive event for the rest of the country or not? Bezos's net worth could easily drop by 73% on Monday without any government intervention at all, do you think that would help anyone?

By what mechanism would the stock market crash? I mean sure, if Bezos dumped 73% of his stock on one day, yes, temporarily. No one would actually propose that though. What about Jeff's ownership is holding up the economy?

I don't think 2008 was good for the country, because inequality increased. All those distressed homes that average people lost are now owned by private equity funds. Over 12 years, those billionaires have almost all gotten wealthier relative to the rest of us. I've already stated my preference for increased anti-trust regulation to protect against that kind of outcome. What was the point of that question?

> Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe, etc

Yeah, you know, those storied 230-year capitalist republics in Weimar Germany and post-colonial Zimbabwe. The US Government printed trillions (!!) of dollars this year and gave the majority of it to the wealthy. We can start by taxing that right back, with no obvious consequence.

> Dude, literally one paragraph ago you're talking about a magic database that can edit anyone's net worth at will.

It was a device to overcome your obstinance, not a literal prescription.

> If you want to theorize about potential policies and what their impacts might be, then cool, I'd love to brainstorm about what things might happen.

I don't, because it took like, 12 messages to get you to acknowledge that simply having the wealthy be less wealthy wasn't the literal apocalypse. It's exhausting.

Your contention that a wealth tax won't work is ridiculous, we already have property taxes in most states and state and federal estate taxes. We already successfully tax wealth, the rest is just about setting the right incentives, and removing the insane raft of tax avoidance loopholes that the barons have paid to place in the tax code.


>How is it going to be worse if Jeff Bezos is worth $50,000,000,000 instead of $180,000,000,000?

on the inverse, how much worse has it gotten since Jeff Bezos went from $50b to $180b?

It keeps coming back to the fact that there is such a focus on "wealth" or whatever.

That's like asking "how is this tax bad if it literally makes more tax revenue?" - the answer is that it will have unforeseen consequences (or even foreseen by a lot).

>what are you picturing happening here?

You're the one even implying its possible, I figured you would have the answer lol

>Me.

Oh, so anyone with more power than you is bad? What about people that don't even have the privilege of arguing on HN?

>That's unacceptable for a democracy or a fair capitalist economy

Why? I would probably agree there's limits that should be imposed so that anyone can't just push around whatever law they want but at the same time, how else would you suggest these things work?

>Economic prosperity, a broad middle class — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal.

Since we're talking about taxes... I checked out the section called "Tax Policy"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal#Tax_policy

It literally says here: The bill imposed an income tax of 79% on incomes over $5 million. Since that was an extraordinary high income in the 1930s, the highest tax rate actually covered just one individual—John D. Rockefeller. The bill was expected to raise only about $250 million in additional funds, so revenue was not the primary goal. Morgenthau called it "more or less a campaign document". In a private conversation with Raymond Moley, Roosevelt admitted that the purpose of the bill was "stealing Huey Long's thunder" by making Long's supporters of his own. At the same time, it raised the bitterness of the rich who called Roosevelt "a traitor to his class" and the wealth tax act a "soak the rich tax".

The only other thing is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Undistributed_profits_tax

Which essentially only lasted 3 years... If you're not talking about these things, then I would ask you don't just send a wikipedia link with over 100 subsections lol.

>We've also seen some really gruesome examples of what happens when concentrated wealth is allowed to run amok for too long

How do you reason all these things are "caused by concentrated wealth"?

>Keep nitpicking individual policies, you are missing the bigger picture.

The big picture is made up of individual policies... that is actually my entire point. I gave you clear example of what happens when one fails to remember the big picture. You gave me links to wikipedia pages covering topics as broad as WWI and left it at that...


Please try making arguments in good faith without invoking so many logical fallacies. Here is a good guide to avoiding them: https://thethinkingshop.org/collections/products/products/lo...


If you really wanted to be productive, you would have pointed out which arguments are fallacies.

Also, you only seem to care about "fallacies" when dealing with those you disagree with ... so please try to be less sanctimonious. Here's a link that might help you: https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/sanctimonious


Jeff Bezos' net worth was ~$33,600,000,000 at the beginning of 2017. I would argue things are considerably worse for the average American since then. It's not the wealth, it's the level of inequality that the wealth is indicative of. If every American had healthcare and access to quality education, housing, and food, it would not matter to me how wealthy Jeff Bezos gets. It's about the floor, not the ceiling, but the floor comes first.

> Oh, so anyone with more power than you is bad? What about people that don't even have the privilege of arguing on HN?

Snore. If you really want to reduce things to personal jabs, that's cool I guess. I was using myself as a stand-in for an average person - feel free to substitute any name that makes your heart warm.

> I would probably agree there's limits that should be imposed so that anyone can't just push around whatever law they want but at the same time, how else would you suggest these things work?

Sever the links between money and political power. Limit private ownership of news organizations. Take away the tools that are being abused.

> Since we're talking about taxes... I checked out the section called "Tax Policy"

Social Security taxes and Medicare Taxes; and most New Deal programs were financed by the Revenue Act of 1932 [1] passed in the year FDR was campaigning on the New Deal. Again, I didn't realize you were going to be a pendant, otherwise I would have linked more specifically. My b.

> How do you reason all these things are "caused by concentrated wealth"?

Slavery was propagated by the concentrated wealth of the southern aristocracy. They rebelled when they felt that their wealth was threatened. Similarly, in Europe, World War 1 was a war of prestige and conquest fought between a bunch of wealthy (largely related) families who had built huge empires.

> The big picture is made up of individual policies... that is actually my entire point. I gave you clear example of what happens when one fails to remember the big picture.

You mocked me a bit and told me I should have the answers, but I didn't see any clear examples. You are wrong about the first point - you can nitpick implementations and individual policies all day. I'm not claiming that 100% of policies that tax the wealthy are good, or will succeed. The big picture is important because it abstracts those smaller points away - the bigger picture is that inequality is driving our societal issues, and taxing the wealthy is an obvious, primary way to help remedy that. Talking about a Swedish wealth tax from 1990 is a joke.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revenue_Act_of_1932


>Jeff Bezos' net worth was ~$33,600,000,000 at the beginning of 2017. I would argue things are considerably worse for the average American since then

Based on what metrics?

>If every American had healthcare and access to quality education, housing, and food, it would not matter to me how wealthy Jeff Bezos gets

These aren't mutually exclusive though...

>Snore. If you really want to reduce things to personal jabs, that's cool I guess. I was using myself as a stand-in for an average person - feel free to substitute any name that makes your heart warm.

If you're arguing on HN you're most likely not the average person. Even then, how would you quantify how much political "power" someone should/could have?

>Sever the links between money and political power. Limit private ownership of news organizations. Take away the tools that are being abused.

Sure. You're just going to run into problems trying to define "tools" and "being abused". And I'm saying that as someone that agrees there are problems with abuse of power.

>otherwise I would have linked more specifically

Yes, cause otherwise you'll link to something and when I do "ctrl+F taxes" it wouldn't lead me to something that argues against your point ;)

It doesn't say there how much revenue it generated. Do you have something you trust showing numbers for the revenue targets and how much it made? I find conflicting information.

>Slavery was propagated by the concentrated wealth of the southern aristocracy. They rebelled when they felt that their wealth was threatened. Similarly, in Europe, World War 1 was a war of prestige and conquest fought between a bunch of wealthy (largely related) families who had built huge empires.

You can have both slavery and wars without a "concentration of capital" as the driving factor. I'll say sure, its a factor. So is the "ability to own land" and half a million other things.

>You mocked me a bit and told me I should have the answers, but I didn't see any clear examples.

I linked to the wiki page detailing how a FTT pretty much destroyed swedish financial markets and did the opposite of what it intended to do.

>Talking about a Swedish wealth tax from 1990 is a joke.

...? Literally everything you have mentioned is several times older than something from 1990. Also... it was introduced in 1984, 1990 is when they reversed it because it was so bad.


> Yes, cause otherwise you'll link to something and when I do "ctrl+F taxes" it wouldn't lead me to something that argues against your point ;)

Yep, I underestimated your unmitigated pendantry. I suppose shouldn't have assumed that you would know that the New Deal involved raising revenue. Concise data from the 1930s isn't super easy to come by, you are going to have to look at broader economic trends and make your own conclusions.

> Literally everything you have mentioned is several times older than something from 1990. Also... it was introduced in 1984, 1990 is when they reversed it because it was so bad.

* Sweden GDP, 1984 (2020 dollars): $108,000,000

* US GDP, 1984 (2020 dollars): $4,000,000,000,000

The U.S. also has much greater reach into the financial markets since we control a lot of them. Older is better - more time to see the long-tail effects of policy.

Regardless of whether FTT would work or not, it's a single tactic (small picture), when we already successfully tax wealth in various ways (estate, property taxes). The big picture is breaking the power of concentrated financial power, and taxation is an obvious method. Nit picking specific policies seems to be a favorite bad-faith tactic to avoid acknowledging that the issue is an issue, which would then require the nitpickers to suggest ideas themselves, instead of just criticizing.


> I suppose shouldn't have assumed that you would know that the New Deal involved raising revenue. Concise data from the 1930s isn't super easy to come by, you are going to have to look at broader economic trends and make your own conclusions.

I don't really need concise data, just some rough numbers. How much did they project the revenue act would raise, how much did it actually raise. How much did it impact investments, spending, choices etc.

Without so much as numbers its really hard to argue its impact. You could say going off the gold standard was much more impactful.

>Regardless of whether FTT would work or not, it's a single tactic (small picture), when we already successfully tax wealth in various ways (estate, property taxes).

Man... it isn't regardless. If an FTT doesn't work we're taking one step forward and several steps back.

>The big picture is breaking the power of concentrated financial power, and taxation is an obvious method.

Yea... and sometimes obvious things are not the best things.

>Nit picking specific policies seems to be a favorite bad-faith tactic to avoid acknowledging that the issue is an issue, which would then require the nitpickers to suggest ideas themselves, instead of just criticizing.

Then why would you bring up the Revenue Act? That is literally a "specific policy". Do you want me to show dozens of examples of FTTs failing? Do you simply need more?

I'm "nit picking" this because 1) I have knowledge on it as I've researched it. 2) It would personally impact me. 3) It is a ridiculous policy because it has been tried so many times and never in its history has it raised as much money as it has projected to raise. They are constantly repealed shortly after they are enacted because people realized they messed up.

Its hardly nit picking when its pretty much one of the major policies of politicians wanting to "redistribute wealth" or "fix inequality" - Bernie Sanders has talked about it at great length. Andrew Yang proposed it as one of his policies. There's nothing to nit pick. Every single time it has been tried it has been repealed after terrible results.

I'm saying I see a very high chance of the wealth tax doing the same exact thing.


> Then why would you bring up the Revenue Act? That is literally a "specific policy".

You were being pedantic about how the New Deal raised revenue. Literally the only reason I linked it.

> Do you want me to show dozens of examples of FTTs failing? Do you simply need more?

If you have examples in the United States or the United Kingdom, sure I'll take a look at them. Otherwise, I don't really see the point, when no other country has had global financial controls comparable to the US/UK in the last 100 years. Further, I've already said that FTT is only one approach, and not one which I have specifically advocated for at any point in this thread. You are arguing against yourself on that one.

We already tax wealth, so it's not clear at all why you think it's so catastrophic. It sure doesn't seem like you've done real research if you haven't been able to come around on the existence (and non-apocalyptic nature of) property and estate taxes.


>You were being pedantic about how the New Deal raised revenue.

How is it pedantic. It's completely relevant. I want to know if it was successful, where the money came from and how it got there...

Much in the same way people preach a wealth tax would bring in "billions" without realizing that probably wouldn't put a dent in anything considering the overall budget.

>If you have examples in the United States or the United Kingdom, sure I'll take a look at them. Otherwise, I don't really see the point, when no other country has had global financial controls comparable to the US/UK in the last 100 years.

ahaha man, isn't that kinda ironic though? Maybe because the US/UK has seen the consequences of an FTT and realized that maybe its not a good idea. This is like saying "I don't want to see anything unless its from the last 50 years, since so much has changed since then"

>Further, I've already said that FTT is only one approach, and not one which I have specifically advocated for at any point in this thread. You are arguing against yourself on that one.

Where did I ever say you were? I'm using FTT as an example of an "effort to tax the rich" that completely backfired because the people behind it assumed they were dealing with a vacuum.

>We already tax wealth, so it's not clear at all why you think it's so catastrophic.

Because it is a waste of energy at best and something that could have catastrophic consequences at worst.

>It sure doesn't seem like you've done real research if you haven't been able to come around on the existence (and non-apocalyptic nature of) property and estate taxes.

I'm not a fan of those either for the most part. However, there's a big difference between property tax and trying to tax something worth $50b one day and then $100b a half a year later.


The problem in Flint and in countless American cities is not incompetence but the invasion of private equity into government. The truism that somehow capital is better at unprofitable public goods like water, prisons etc than the evil lazy government ignores the fact that the steep decline in competent management stems from the clientelist willingness to sell off public properties to private equity under "city managers" who are unaccountable and hold more power than elected officials.

The right-wing strategy is consistently to smear competent government systems while working tirelessly to undermine them with the final goal to sell them for cheap to private interests.

There is a LOT that competent legislation could do to rein this in. But it isn't in the interests of the investor class. So no, the $140 missing part is not the problem, it was a thoroughly corrupt city management that was the problem, and it's brought to you by the same ideology that sees taxing the rich as "unproductive."


> PG is picking a fight with the least sophisticated form of the anti-billionaire argument (i.e. "billionaires suck"), which is beneath him. I get that it's easier to do that than than argue over how the structural issues that allow massive wealth accumulation also undermine the foundations that markets and societies are built on, but it's really beneath PG to choose such a trite argument to oppose.

PG has good ideas and experience in programming and startups, and some fresh perspectives that I enjoyed reading in the early days of HN. His essays today seem to be devoid of that. I can speculate on the reasons why, but that's not useful. He has a huge following, and like any thought leader they will consider his word as gospel. I just wish he would do better.


Serious question: You say that engaging with the least sophisticated form of the argument is beneath him, but if that's the form of the argument he chooses to engage in, is it?


I think it is understood from the context that PG is assumed to be a person of above average intellect and is thus expected to use more sophisticated and less lazy forms of arguments. That expectation sets the bar for the kind of argument he is expected to make. I believe the logical fallacy your statement is exhibiting is called "Begging the question" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Begging_the_question.


Let’s phrase that feedback loop a bit more clearly. When a person finds a way to deploy resources more efficiently, to meet other people’s needs better and with improved efficiency, society has feedback looks that divert more resources to that persons control so they can do so at increased scale.

Isn’t that what we want?

Just a week ago or so on Reddit someone posted imagining how much good Elon could do with his Billions. I replied that yes, maybe he could devote those resources to push forward electrification of transport to mitigate global warming, invest heavily is solar power technology and devote resources to trying to create a future for humanity in space.

Well, of course, that’s exactly what he’s doing. All those billions aren’t stacked in a mountain of dollar notes in his basement, it’s embodied in the jobs, infrastructure, technology and products of his companies. This basic, fundamental ignorance of even the simplest economic concepts is incredibly common. I see it all the time, here as well.


Musk is the exception, not the rule.

It's usually much easier to make money in unnecessary bullshit, and via rent-like activities, than in socially valuable activities. So that's what most rich people choose to do.


He really isn't, as Paul Graham sys he's got unparalelled experience of working with many people doing exactly this - creating value and accumulating the resources to leverage that value to benefit society.

Yes of course there are inefficiencies in the system, rent seeking behaviour does happen and it's an important aspect of policy to try and minimise and disincentivise it. Nevertheless, our economic system does work. All those companies employing people, paying taxes and generating goods and services are the economy. That's where the wealth is being generated. The vast majority of wealthy people are incredibly hard working, dedicated people running companies, employing people and creating wealth. If they weren't the system just wouldn't work.


Musk is on his way to becoming the richest man on earth, I hardly think in a conversation about billionaires you can discount the example of someone who represents a couple of hundred of them.


> Warren Buffet doesn't directly exploit anyone

FWIW He has a significant stake in a company (Berkshire Hathaway) that does own a series of companies that engage in questionable practices. And he is uniquely in a position to stop that practice and chooses not to.

https://publicintegrity.org/business/warren-buffetts-mobile-...


I think he actually owns real estate companies that do in fact exploit people. It's also interesting to find out that wage theft, the underpayment or nonpayment of wages is actually a huge problem and is pretty much the definition of exploitation (not being paid for work done). Many regular public companies engage in it regularly.


it's not a weak straw man. There are people who say this:

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/aoc-accuses-...


It's a real argument, depending on where you stand.

To become a billionaire, one must be able to amass 10 thousand times more wealth than the median household in the US. To reach the lofty heights of Bill Gates et al. one must amass ~ 1 million times more wealth than the median US household.

The reason why some believe that to be a billionaire is exploitative is that they believe this 4-6 order of magnitude disparity in wealth is inherently exploitative. You could always imagine a society where the warehouse workers were paid double ( or even quadruple ) for the effort they perform and a 100 billionaire would simply be a 100 millionaire.

Regardless of where you draw the line for the discrepancy to be considered exploitative. The line exists somewhere for everyone. Tsar Nicholas had the equivalent of ~1.3 trillion in today's dollars in wealth prior to the revolution, and I can't imagine the US supporting anyone with amassing more than 10-20 trillion dollars in wealth.

Carnegie et. al. each managed to earn up to ~300 billion in today's dollars prior to the anti-trust act.


I think this depends on what you mean by "exploitative". It's such a loaded word used for rhetorical purposes that it's not necessarily clear where one draws the line between any given pair of arguments.


How would your comment read if you replaced the word “amass wealth” versus “create value”?


The point of the comment is that in many minds there is a cutoff where "create value" looks like hoarding. One could argue that the Tzar and other monarchies created value by providing stable governance, organizing the nation, preventing the tyranny of the majority, as well as keeping out the invaders.

At some point, when the wealth gap is extreme enough and the circumstances of enough people is sufficiently degraded -these arguments stop holding weight.


Is Bill Gates degrading or improving the lives of people on the whole? Same question for Elon Musk.


> Is Bill Gates degrading or improving the lives of people on the whole? Same question for Elon Musk.

Only part of Bill Gates' wealth is attributable to the value he created. At least some of that wealth was due to establishing and protecting monopolies on desktop operating systems and office suites.

Yes, quite a bit of harm was done as a side effect of protecting those monopolies, not to mention from extending them into other markets. The simplest and most direct harm was an extra $50 tacked onto the price of every desktop PC purchased even if you didn't want (or already had) a copy of Windows.

As for Musk, it's early days yet, and his companies are still in "Blue Ocean Strategy" mode. We'll have to wait and see what happens once SpaceX and Tesla are defending an entrenched position.


Is Charles Koch? is Jim Walton?

The list of billionaires is expansive at this point in time. While there are some like Elon Musk who are directing the economy in ways that would be perceived to some like myself as positive. For the ~262 million people in the US who would be unable to afford a Tesla, will never go to the Moon or Mars, live paycheck to paycheck and may lack the education ( or interest ) in space to appreciate the science and technology advancements being made, These activities can best be summed up with this song inspired by the 1969 landings.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=goh2x_G0ct4


But was the improvement on people's lives produced by the work of Gates or Musk alone? Or it required hundreds of people working to make it possible?


Of course he didn’t do it alone. But the people who got in early with Gates or Musk made out like bandits.

And the bigger question is - would Microsoft or Tesla happened at all with Gates or Musk? I mean, at least in Musk’s case everybody thought he was guaranteed to fail. I don’t begrudge his $1B of wealth in the least - he put his money where his mouth was when everyone else said it was dumb - but he was right.

It’s not like they Gate and Musk kept all the wealth for themselves. Didn’t Microsoft create several hundred millionaires? But if Gates and Musk were the key drivers for the very existence of the companies I don’t see any issue with them getting the lions shares of the returns.


Microsoft has created over 10K millionaires and at least 2 additional (not named Gates) billionaires from stock alone.


The latter of course, which is tangentially related (not contradictory) to my question.


And worth pointing out, there are not just random people saying it but members of the US Congress with many millions of supporters.


That’s the equivalent of a solider claiming they were just following orders.

The Doordash people don’t want to steal tips, but the law doesn’t punish them for doing so, and the people getting exploited are drinking lead water anyway.


Door dash didn't steal tips, they supplemented tips until they were pressured to stop.


Commissioned salesmen sometimes work on a draw. A guy delivering Five Guys? Please.

For a W2 worker it’s wage theft. Since these folks are 1099s it’s not protected by law. Either way is gross and unethical.


> Warren Buffet doesn't directly exploit anyone.

There might be something to discuss there: https://publicintegrity.org/inequality-poverty-opportunity/w...


Which billionaires have become billionaires without exploiting their labour? Who's becoming a billionaire outside of the ownership class?


I suspect most of the workers for Ray Dalio, James Simons, and David E. Shaw would strongly disagree with the characterization that they are being exploited.

Disclaimer/source: I worked for D. E. Shaw & Co and have close friends who work at RenTech. My personal experiences were amazingly positive and friends at RenTech say similar things.


To be more accurate, Warren Buffett pays a lower tax rate than his secretary.

https://money.cnn.com/2013/03/04/news/economy/buffett-secret...


It annoys me that these conversations are always focused on people from the Forbes list

Which explicitly excludes dictators and royal families

It's super easy to defend the actions of "industrious" businessmen if you're even a little bit to the right

Is it so easy to defend dictators who are even richer?


> However he does pay less taxes than his secretary.

No, he absolutely does not. He pays a lower effective tax rate but vastly more in actual money than his secretary. His effective rate is 17 something percent because the capital gains tax rate is 15%, not because he’s rich. https://www.fool.com/taxes/2020/09/25/why-does-billionaire-w...

We could certainly increase cap gains rate to regular income, but that would fuck a huge portion of the middle class depending on gains in 401ks for retirement.


> It doesn't have to be this way, it's a product of our laws and can be changed

I don't think any of your three statements are true, based on my (limited) knowledge of history. Far as I know, the only way to break the feedback loop is to restart it - a revolution or the like - and build something in its place that maximizes the time until the loop has to be broken again.

If anything, I'd guess that it's human nature to try and amass power/money/influence/cows, and the more you have the easier it is to get more. That's not a fault with our laws, it's what people do - on average, in aggregate.


Society and laws are constructs, and we constructed them to be this way. We do not need to restart from zero to fix things.

People do those things because the pressure to avoid doing those things is far too weak, and the pressure to be a good person is one of the things that society should provide.


Ok, but that pressure is brought to bear from somewhere. If there's people who are given the power to apply that pressure, then that power is now something people can amass.

I don't know how you're imagining that society can provide that pressure without also giving ambitous people a way to collect power.


Capitalism unchecked tends towards monopolies and subsistence wage for those lucky enough to have a job. I agree this is a product of our human instincts, but the only thing stopping it - short of a revolution - are thoughtful laws designed to balance the entrepreneurial spirit with the need to treat everybody equitably.


Having a lower tax rate is different than paying less tax. Not saying there isn’t something wrong with a lower tax rate, but it’s disingenuous to frame it this way.


Your entire comment, minus your opening statement, contradicts your opening statement; and supports the theory that people mistakenly claim that the only way to become billionaire (or millionaires for that matter) is by exploring people.


Lol yes. He says billionaires don't exploit people. Then explains how billionaires exploit people. And then struggles to morally justify billionaires exploiting people.


> and feedback loops that let the wealthy amass more wealth and power. It doesn't have to be this way, it's a product of our laws and can be changed.

Those feedback loops are directly created by wealthy people for wealthy people, because politicians like money like just everyone else its easy to manipulate them into creating feedback loops that help those wealthy folks amaze even more wealth. The more corruptible the politicians are the more the wealth gap increases, from there is easy to conclude why millions are struggling to get by even in the wealthiest nation on paper.


What's the point of being the wealthiest nation ever on paper, if there's terrible schools, high infant mortality, and lead in the drinking pipes?

I think it's a little more complicated than that. I think "virtual goods" make it hard to figure out exactly where we stand these days in terms of economic health, a la this past comment of mine:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22028732


PSA that the bottom 50% of taxpayers pay 3% of the taxes. Net negative once you consider all the frictional costs.


In 2015, Buffett released his tax returns and paid $1.8 million on $11.6 million in income.

If his secretary paid more than $1.8 million in taxes, they have extremely high income and they shouldn't be used in a comparison of "desperate people struggling to get by" like Uber drivers.


Nothing incompatible about exploiting and building in one person or coterie.

It would be great if Y Combinator filters well to emphasize non-exploiting billionaires, but that’s certainly less that all billionaires.


And the ones making all that money are the ones telling you to vote democrat and bring in huge numbers of workers they can pay peanuts instead of having to pay a good wage to an American.


> What's the point of being the wealthiest nation ever on paper, if there's terrible schools, high infant mortality, and lead in the drinking pipes?

How does this affect me as a wealthy person?


>This essay uses a weak straw-man: the only way to become a billionaire is by exploiting people

It's not a strawman, people repeat this as fact in any far left leaning forum. To socialists all work in a capitalist system is exploitation.


Almost. The straw-man is that future billionaires start out to exploit people.

The exploitation is a side effect.


> exploiting people

Old soviet joke:

Under capitalism, man exploits man. Under communism, it's the other way around!


Buffet may not directly exploit anyone, but wage-labor in itself is exploitation. If he's investing in companies that hire employees with the intent of extracting surplus value from said employees, then he's indirectly participating in capitalist exploitation.


> However he does pay less taxes than his secretary.

His secretary can buy Berkshire Hathaway stock at any time and pay a lower tax rate than Buffet, while growing wealth at the same rate as Buffet.


It’s not hard to escape poverty at all, especially in America. Just requires that you’re willing to pursue a skilled career.


You also need to already have the capital to get a skilled education and to support yourself while you do. Or you could assume large amounts of student debt before having a job, gambling on being able to complete your education and get a job before the payments start coming in. There's a student debt crisis for a reason.

And you better not get too ambitious and pursue a degree that's too difficult, or you won't be able to complete your degree and you'll have all the debt but none of the credentials.


The student debt crisis is suffered mainly by people who majored in non-technical fields from liberal arts colleges. There is a lack of jobs for people who have training in the humanities. That is unfortunate but that is not what I am suggesting.

If you take out a loan for professional training for a skill that is in high demand you will have little trouble paying it back. Software engineering is an example, but really any type of hard engineering training will relatively easily result in a relatively high paying job. There is such a high demand for those jobs in the US that we currently import many of those workers from China and India via H1B.


Not everyone is well-suited to those fields. Starting a degree that you can't finish is the worst choice possible. But even if everyone retrained as software engineers, that would just result in a surplus & everyone would need to retrain again.


What do you recommend?

And how do you recommend pursuing this skilled career when you don’t even have enough money for food, clothes and shelter?

I mean that’s pretty much a working definition of poverty and I’m really curious how easy you think it is to do when you’re hungry, dirty and tired.


America provides food and housing assistance for people living under extreme poverty.

Once you have a stable base it’s a matter of hard work.


Based on your comments, you probably never had a need for food and housing assistance. There's a huge chasm between "extreme poverty" and "stable base" and millions of people are stuck. At least one billionaire profits from keeping people in that limbo: https://publicintegrity.org/inequality-poverty-opportunity/w...


I grew up in poverty under a single mother. My family’s yearly income was never more than $10K growing up. I have the income tax statements to prove it.

I went to the absolute worst schools. Literally F schools.



I’ve come to realize that you can’t be a billionaire without either being an ahole or extremely lucky (which means your success had little to do with your actual contribution). In order to accrue that amount of wealth in one lifetime from scratch you have to screw over a lot of people. Yet, our society rewards these behaviors and in fact idolizes them. We do not reward creativity, resourcefulness, goodwill, etc. In fact these behaviors are penalized.


I don’t know who Graham is talking about—“politicians”?—but this is a very famous claim, or corollary, from Marx: capitalists exploit workers. Why? Because of the labor theory of value. (1) All value is created from labor. (2) Capitalists employ workers in order to extract surplus value from them (what’s the point of employing them if you don’t get more out of your “investment” than you pay it?). (3) Ergo capitalists exploit workers.

Of course millionaires and billionaires can still _work_ themselves in the sense given above, i.e. in a way that creates value. And one could argue that one can be a self-made (no exploitation of others) millionaire. But it becomes farcical to claim that a person can become a billionaire without exploiting people. Any person on Earth would need much more than one lifetime to create a Billion USD worth of value _through their own labor alone_.


> But it becomes farcical to claim that a person can become a billionaire without exploiting people.

It is farcical to a Marxist maybe, with infinite patience for labor theory of value despite century worth of contradictory evidence.


Here’s a recent quote from the Marxist rag The Economist:

> One reason for the measure’s current strength is that the balance of power seems to have moved in favour of capital, and against labour, in recent decades. The decline of trade unions, and the addition of China to the global market, have weakened workers’ bargaining power; in the past 15 years, corporate profits have been regularly equivalent to more than 10% of American GDP, and at a much higher level than they were between 1960 and 2000.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/12/04/expensiv...

But I’m still Graham’s Billionaires Build la-la land is still a reality, though.


This has nothing to do with labor theory of value.


It is, however, relevant to my claim—which you took such offense to—that it is virtually impossible to become a self-made billionaire. The Economist author seems to agree that capitalist class struggle will help the would-be billionaire, not just his ability (pace Graham) to Build.


No, I called you precisely on labor theory of value. It is nothing short of incredible you manage to read between the lines in a one-liner.

It is obvious that you can't really have any social advancement without any supporting social dynamics. Also odds are overwhelmingly against any given individual becoming a billionaire from a commoner background… yet the examples are numerous, and particularly in tech.

I'm not commenting about merits of Graham's observations as am not a venture capitalist. But the LTV bit you were on, that's some ancient bullshit. I lived in the tail end of USSR, could observe first hand how well it worked.


There is not strong evidence that these feedback loops actually exist. Wealth is actually strongly mean-reverting along genetically heritable lines.


Do you live in Scandinavia? We're not talking about Scandinavia. USA ranks #27 here:

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-the-social-mobility-...


That report is obvious bullshit and you should be able to discern that immediately. It ranks countries on “ healthcare, education, technology access, working conditions, and social protection” and then calls that “social mobility”. Zero actual analysis of intra- or inter-generational wealth variance.


Interesting.

The OECD have a better report :

https://www.oecd.org/centrodemexico/medios/44582910.pdf

From page 5 Australia ranks #2 and Canada #5 and the US is #10.

That's on intergenerational income quintile mobility.




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