There are already areas of the country where "this" isn't going on, where businesses are open at full capacity and the public is happy to patronize them. Even in the most socially distanced areas, there's lots of people going on vacations and eating in restaurants and having house parties with their friends and family. So when you talk about reopening in Easter 2022, it's hard to connect that with the state of things today, much less the likely results when vaccines finish rolling out.
We will absolutely see another surge before the vaccine roll out is completed. So tens of thousands of more people will die because states reopened too quickly.
Easter, 2022 is no more realistic than Easter, 2020. Expectations need to be set that are reasonable and err on the side of caution and pessimism.
The source of this thread was a comment attempting to set the expectation that things will never get better, and nobody will ever again live the way they did in 2019. There’s a huge chasm between that and your (reasonable) claim that some people have moved a bit too fast and there may be public health consequences.
"Never" is always an exaggeration. I took that to be hyperbole, meaning "not for a very, very long time." Maybe the western world has this fully under control in a year. What about the virus mutating everywhere else? All you need is the next patient zero to get on a plane with some highly resistant variant and this starts all over again.
