> people will naturally shy away from such black boxes.
I don't this isn't true. In fact, it seems that in the industry, many developers don't proceed with caution and go straight into usage, only to find the problems later down the road. This is a result of intense marketing on the part of cloud providers.
The fact is most developers in most companies have very little choice. Many medium to large companies (1k-50k employees) the CTO gets wined and dined by AWS/Azure/Oracle and they decide to move to that cloud. They bring in their solutions architects and do the training. The corporate architects for the divisions set the goals. So the rank and file developers get told that they have to make this work in AWS using RDS and they have almost zero power over this choice.
It doesn't even have to be in companies that big. The AWS salespeople took the CTO and a couple of directors of engineering for diner in a fancy restaurant. That was in a fintech that had around 200 employees. AWS also paid for the mandatory marketing... sorry, mandatory training sessions we tech managers had to do.
This is how much it takes for a CTO to demand the next week that "everything should be done with AWS cloud-native stuff if possible".
I don't this isn't true. In fact, it seems that in the industry, many developers don't proceed with caution and go straight into usage, only to find the problems later down the road. This is a result of intense marketing on the part of cloud providers.