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> Not that long ago, every Weebly customer would have meant a programming job for someone.

Isn't that kind of like saying that every pirated album == a lost sale?



Right, that's the fallacy being made constantly here - as if Weebly and Google Maps are taking jobs from developers, when really there would have been no need for a site or a mapping component in their absence.


"...as if Weebly and Google Maps are taking jobs from developers, when really there would have been no need for a site or a mapping component in their absence."

There were once a great many programmers who did custom website development. That market doesn't exist anymore. It's not a "fallacy" if it actually happened.

What you're really trying to argue is that Weebly and Google Maps and the others expanded the market for professional software development -- that all of those people who did simple websites are now doing harder things. That's true so far, but there's no guarantee that it will continue to be true.

What's happening here is that you're arguing sound-bite economics, and we're arguing a point that's about five steps ahead of where you are: eventually, automation will reach a point where the average need of a customer will be satisfied without the assistance of a programmer. That we have not yet reached that point is not an effective counterargument. It has happened in nearly every other industry, and thus far, programming appears to be following the same curve.

It's the same reason that we no longer pay artisan woodworkers to make most of our furniture.


> There were once a great many programmers who did custom website development. That market doesn't exist anymore.

This is not true; just try doing a search for "web developer" in any major city. There will be dozens, if not hundreds of jobs listed on almost any day of the year.




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