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Reflecting on the state of the world always leaves me thinking of this[0]:

30 March 1973

Dear Mr. Nadeau:

As long as there is one upright man, as long as there is one compassionate woman, the contagion may spread and the scene is not desolate. Hope is the thing that is left to us, in a bad time. I shall get up Sunday morning and wind the clock, as a contribution to order and steadfastness.

Sailors have an expression about the weather: they say, the weather is a great bluffer. I guess the same is true of our human society—things can look dark, then a break shows in the clouds, and all is changed, sometimes rather suddenly. It is quite obvious that the human race has made a queer mess of life on this planet. But as a people we probably harbor seeds of goodness that have lain for a long time waiting to sprout when the conditions are right. Man’s curiosity, his relentlessness, his inventiveness, his ingenuity have led him into deep trouble. We can only hope that these same traits will enable him to claw his way out.

Hang on to your hat. Hang on to your hope. And wind the clock, for tomorrow is another day.

Sincerely, E. B. White

[0] https://lettersofnote.com/2012/01/06/wind-the-clock-for-tomo...


Common thing for humans to reflect on... there's the old adage: 'This too shall pass,'

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/This_too_shall_pass)

and in ancient history (circa 2003), "For Now" from Avenue Q:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=-9T5f_VtxNc&t=6342


This advice is spot on!

I haven't worked on this problem, but others in my graduate lab did. If you're interested in a tool that automates some of this process (takes VCF as input; filters variants based on frequency; you'll need to map disease symptoms/phenotypes to Human Phenotype Ontology [1] identifiers), some of my former lab mates developed a web tool [2]: https://amelie.stanford.edu/submit

[1] https://hpo.jax.org/app/

[2] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.29.20248974v...


If you're interested in the subject, I highly recommend Tomorrow's Table [1], a book by Pamela Ronald, a plant pathologist and geneticist, and Raoul Adamchak, her husband and an organic farmer (disclaimer: my fiancé works in Pam's lab).

The subject of the book isn't pesticides or biodiversity per se, but rather how to produce food sustainably in the face of population growth and climate change.

An anecdote from the book: what happens when artificial pesticides aren't used (setting aside the meaning of artificial/natural)? Corn can be sprayed with crystal toxins derived from proteins in the soil bacterium, Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt), engineered to produce these proteins, or exhibit damage from insects (it looks pretty gross [2]).

If you're going to ban pesticides, you need an alternative or will face lower yields.

[1] https://cropgeneticsinnovation.ucdavis.edu/book-tomorrows-ta...

[2] https://www.nature.com/scitable/knowledge/library/use-and-im...


Somewhat lower yields are fine, just reallocate land from other uses. In Europe there's overproduction so large parts of land ended up growing biofuels, which is incredibly stupid. In America large part is fed to cows (in Europe grazing is preferred).


Switzerland doesn't have lots of excess land, it is highly industrialised already.


In Switzerland of all places there should be pretty accurate estimates what would happen after pesticides ban.

Anyone would be so kind as to link them so we could move beyond such nebulous arguments/counterarguments? ;)


No one with any credibility is suggesting 2 months...

As of October, "The confirmed examples worldwide [of re-infections] could possibly be counted on your fingers" [0].

Immune memory cells, which are more potent than antibodies, persist for longer than 6 months [1].

We don't have data to support 2 years of immunity, but current evidence is pointing at it being long-lasting [2].

[0] https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/10/14/im... [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03207-w [2] https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1349898485756162048


Lots and lots and lots (hundreds of thousands) of people in Russia have been officially infected and diagnosed twice. Many Russian docs who worked with Covid patients have already been sick three times. And yes, most of the time they say it's 3-5 months for asymptomatic cases and 9 months and more for severe symptomatic.


This comment is not consistent with other data.

It appears that Russia has a different distribution of coronavirus strains than the rest of Europe [0], but the strains in Russia are certainly found elsewhere. If hundreds of thousands of Russians were re-infected this would be observed elsewhere and documented.

The closest thing I can find to reporting on this matter is here [1]. The Siberian Times does not appear to be a reputable news source [2], and its claims do not match the magnitude of those above. It reports that Russia’s chief sanitary doctor Anna Popova said, "in Russia there was not a single confirmed case of coronavirus reinfection." Furthermore, the doctor on the other side of this disagreement has "heard about other cases [of re-infection] elsewhere in Russia from colleagues" (and claims to have been re-infected).

This is not "lots and lots (hundreds of thousands)"...

There is evidence of re-infections in the scientific literature, but they are exceedingly rare (tens of people worldwide). Long-term immunity will have to be measured, especially in light of new variants, but current evidence points in that direction.

[0] https://nextstrain.org/ncov/europe?transmissions=show

[1] https://siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/virology-profess...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Siberian_Times


Do you have a source on that? I'm concerned about reinfection, I had it back in March last year.

Got tested for antibodies, the test did detect some but concluded I didn't have immunity anymore.


The success of dexamethasone [1], compared to the increasingly conflicted results of remdesivir [2], argues against this view.

[1] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2021436 [2] https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/10/16/th...


While they covered copyrighted material, the "Safe Harbor" provisions of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA) [1] were essential for any user-created content to be hosted by third parties on the web.

I wonder if speech could be treated similarly, with a distinction made between passive hosting and promotion:

"Tech companies should not be liable for the content that users upload to their platforms, but they should be liable when their algorithms choose to show it." [2]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_Copyright_Infringement_... [2] https://twitter.com/pmddomingos/status/955594859154259968


Track spikes for shorter events have included a rigid plate - sometimes made of carbon fiber - for as long as I can remember.

The Vaporfly 4% could simply be viewed as a technology transfer to shoes intended for longer distances.


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